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Paris Saint Germain — Monaco
Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain - Monaco 04.09.2026 22:05: score, statistics, forecasts

Finished
1
2
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1st half 1:0
2nd half 0:2
04.09.2026 22:05
Monaco Monaco
L
W
W
W
W
Ligue 1
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | France
Parc des Princes
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Monaco or draw
Most likely outcome — Monaco (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Paris Saint Germain
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Monaco
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Paris Saint Germain
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Monaco
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Monaco
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Paris Saint Germain
0%
Monaco
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.1 3.45
Avg. corners per match 9.6 9.58
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.21 3.5
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco, match from 04.09.2026. The referee appointed for this match is J. Brisard. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 6 seasons the teams face each other. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 7.61 on an away win - Monaco.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.77
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -8.1%
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -62.6%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Paris Saint Germain - Monaco 04.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
51% from average (1.95)
1
2
95% from average (2.1)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.78)
0
0
0% from average (1.62)
Possession
108% from average (63.2)
68%
32%
62% from average (52)
Corners
99% from average (6.07)
6
0
0% from average (4.33)
Yellow cards
64% from average (1.57)
1
1
50% from average (2)
46% from average (4.38)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
102% from average (8.8)
9
11
94% from average (11.75)
86% from average (23.25)
Shots on goal
144% from average (16)
23
4
30% from average (13.17)
Shots on target
179% from average (5.6)
10
2
38% from average (5.33)
Shots off target
95% from average (6.33)
6
2
46% from average (4.33)
Blocked shots
169% from average (4.13)
7
0
0% from average (3.5)
Shots from inside the box
84% from average (9.53)
8
2
24% from average (8.42)
Shots from outside the box
232% from average (6.47)
15
2
42% from average (4.75)
Passes
117% from average (647.2)
757
355
72% from average (490.17)
Successful passes
119% from average (578.67)
688
293
70% from average (418.08)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
279% from average (1.79)
5
2
111% from average (1.8)
Saves
0% from average (2.93)
0
9
308% from average (2.92)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
31’
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
1
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
0
Substitution
52’
Jordan Teze
Vanderson
Goal
58’
Flavio Nazinho
1
:
1
Substitution
63’
Ferrán Torres
Désiré Doue
Substitution
64’
Lucas Hernández
Warren Zaire-Emery
Yellow Card
68’
Lucas Hernández
Yellow Card
68’
Jordan Teze
Substitution
68’
Mika Godts
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Substitution
69’
Ousmane Dembélé
Maghnes Akliouche
Goal
72’
Stanis Idumbo
1
:
2
Substitution
73’
Anis Soubeir
Mamadou Coulibaly
Substitution
73’
Matthis Abline
Paris Brunner
Substitution
76’
Dro Fernández
Fabián Ruiz
Substitution
87’
Safouane Benzahra
Aleksandr Golovin
Substitution
87’
Christian Mawissa
Stanis Idumbo
Match Completed
1
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Paris Saint Germain
LD
L. Digne
Inactive
Definitely will not play
NM
N. Mendes
Red Card
Definitely will not play
Monaco
MS
M. Salisu
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
AF
A. Fati
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
FB
F. Balogun
Injury
Definitely will not play
ED
E. Diop
Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-3-3 Paris Saint Germain
7 K. Kvaratskhelia
11 M. Akliouche
14 D. Doué
8 Fabián Ruiz
17 Vitinha
87 João Neves
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
51 W. Pacho
5 Marquinhos
2 A. Hakimi
39 M. Safonov
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Monaco
29 Paris Josua Brunner
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo
10 A. Golovin
28 M. Coulibaly
6 D. Zakaria
8 L. Camara
20 Flávio Nazinho
15 E. Dier
72 Sadibou Sané
2 Vanderson
1 L. Hrádecký

Starting lineups

#
Player
39
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
1
+2
51
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
+1
87
~
~
~
+3
17
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
~
+5
11
~
~
~
+4
7
~
~
~
+6
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+2
72
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
1
+4
8
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+1
28
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+2
17
~
~
1
+3
29
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
10
~
~
~
+3
30
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+1
21
~
1
~
+1
4
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
#
Player
11
~
~
~
~
47
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
46
~
~
~
~
4
~
1
~
+1
49
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Paris Saint Germain - Monaco 04.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 11
1
2nd half 12
3
Result 23
4
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Paris Saint Germain
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Monaco
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Paris Saint Germain - Monaco 04.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Paris Saint Germain and Monaco before the match 04.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Paris Saint Germain - Monaco 04.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works