Ligue 1
04.09 · 22:05
· Finished
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 2
Monaco
11.43
X6.09
28.8
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.77.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 21.5
1.87
low
Under 10.5
1.67
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.4%
exp. goals
3.25
edge
-6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.03.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
25.02.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
17.02.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
29.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5