Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Marseille
Most likely outcome — Marseille (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Monaco
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Marseille
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Monaco
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Marseille
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Marseille and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Monaco
0%
Marseille
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.55
3
Avg. corners per match
9.58
9.14
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.67
4.79
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Monaco: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Monaco: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Monaco: In 19 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Monaco: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Monaco - Marseille, the match will take place 30.08.2026. The referee will be Willy Delajod, France. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Monaco the odds are just 2.22.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.24
Average CLV
+9.73%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
95% from average (2.1)
2
0
0% from average (1.45)
Expected goals (xG)
109% from average (1.58)
1.72
1.4
88% from average (1.6)
Possession
70% from average (51.25)
36%
64%
116% from average (55.07)
Corners
118% from average (4.25)
5
7
136% from average (5.14)
Yellow cards
192% from average (2.08)
4
0
0% from average (2.86)
116% from average (3.44)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
75% from average (12)
9
10
80% from average (12.5)
81% from average (23.5)
Shots on goal
84% from average (13.08)
11
13
84% from average (15.43)
Shots on target
95% from average (5.25)
5
2
36% from average (5.5)
Shots off target
90% from average (4.42)
4
6
101% from average (5.93)
Blocked shots
58% from average (3.42)
2
5
125% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
82% from average (8.5)
7
7
72% from average (9.71)
Shots from outside the box
87% from average (4.58)
4
6
105% from average (5.71)
Passes
74% from average (482.67)
356
648
129% from average (501.14)
Successful passes
76% from average (409.75)
310
591
136% from average (433.21)
Pass accuracy
104% from average (83.58)
87%
91%
106% from average (85.86)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
188% from average (1.6)
3
1
67% from average (1.5)
Saves
65% from average (3.08)
2
3
117% from average (2.57)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
13’
P. Brunner
1
:0
Yellow Card
42’
Denis Zakaria
Yellow Card
43’
D. Zakaria
Yellow Card
43’
Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
44’
L. Camara
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
46’
K. Abdallah
Q. Timber
Substitution
46’
T. Nnadi
H. Abdelli
Substitution
46’
T. Nnadi
H. Abdelli
Substitution
46’
K. Abdallah
Q. Timber
Goal
53’
P. Brunner
2
:0
Goal
54’
P. Brunner
3
:0
Substitution
58’
N. Aguerd
G. Kondogbia
Substitution
59’
N. Aguerd
G. Kondogbia
Substitution
73’
N. Maupay
T. Nnadi
Substitution
73’
N. Maupay
Substitution
74’
N. Maupay
T. Nnadi
Substitution
81’
M. Abline
A. Golovin
Substitution
81’
A. Soubeir
M. Coulibaly
Substitution
81’
M. Biereth
P. Brunner
Substitution
81’
A. Soubeir
M. Coulibaly
Substitution
81’
M. Abline
A. Golovin
Substitution
82’
M. Abline
A. Golovin
Substitution
82’
A. Soubeir
M. Coulibaly
Substitution
82’
M. Biereth
P. Brunner
Substitution
85’
F. Moumbagna
A. Gomes
Substitution
85’
M. Detourbet
S. Idumbo
Yellow Card
88’
Nazinho
Yellow Card
89’
Nazinho
Yellow Card
90’+2’
Lukáš Hrádecký
Match Completed
2
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Monaco
TM
Definitely will not play
T. Minamino
Knee Injury
MS
Definitely will not play
M. Salisu
Knee Injury
AF
Definitely will not play
A. Fati
Calf Injury
FB
Definitely will not play
F. Balogun
Injury
Marseille
LB
Definitely will not play
L. Balerdi
Calf Injury
IP
Definitely will not play
I. Paixao
Muscle Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Monaco
29
P. Brunner
17
S. Idumbo
10
A. Golovin
28
M. Coulibaly
6
D. Zakaria
8
L. Camara
20
Nazinho
15
E. Dier
72
S. Sane
2
Vanderson
1
L. Hradecky
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Marseille
9
A. Gouiri
27
Q. Timber
7
A. Gomes
77
A. Harit
23
P. Hojbjerg
8
H. Abdelli
33
Emerson
19
G. Kondogbia
4
C. Egan-Riley
22
T. Weah
12
J. De Lange
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Monaco - Marseille 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
8
3
2nd half
3
10
Result
11
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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Monaco
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Marseille
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Monaco - Marseille 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
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Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Monaco and Marseille before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Monaco - Marseille 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works