Matches / Ligue 1 / Monaco — Marseille · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Ligue 1 30.08 · 21:45 · Finished
Monaco
home
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
Marseille
away
12.28 X3.72 23.25
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.24.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticK model TheAnalyticK model model retroactive* 1 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 5.5 1.24 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability 84.3% exp. goals 3.22 edge +1.2%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

05.04.26 2:1 Over 2.5 won
14.12.25 0:1 Under 2.5
12.04.25 3:0 Over 2.5 won
01.12.24 1:2 Over 2.5 won