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Willem II — Heerenveen
Eredivisie

Willem II - Heerenveen 30.08.2026 15:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Willem II Willem II
Position: 15 (-4)
D
W
W
L
L
Finished
2
2
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 2:2
30.08.2026 15:30
Heerenveen Heerenveen
Position: 11 (+4)
W
D
W
D
L
Eredivisie
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Netherlands
Koning Willem II Stadion
xG 1.70 1.35
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Heerenveen or draw
Most likely outcome — Heerenveen (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Willem II
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Heerenveen
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Willem II
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Heerenveen
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Heerenveen and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Willem II
24%
Heerenveen
76%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.55 3.55
Avg. corners per match 9.13 10.69
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.25 3.17
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Willem II will face Heerenveen 30.08.2026 as the home team. This match will be officiated by Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2024. Odds 1.77 on a win Heerenveen indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.50
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -8.9%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Willem II - Heerenveen 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
133% from average (1.5)
2
2
100% from average (2)
Expected goals (xG)
98% from average (1.73)
1.7
1.35
86% from average (1.57)
Possession
92% from average (42.25)
39%
61%
120% from average (50.85)
Corners
189% from average (4.75)
9
7
132% from average (5.31)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.25)
0
0
0% from average (1.5)
0% from average (4.46)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
92% from average (9.75)
9
5
55% from average (9.15)
56% from average (25.08)
Shots on goal
84% from average (14.25)
12
13
95% from average (13.62)
Shots on target
95% from average (5.25)
5
5
84% from average (5.92)
Shots off target
102% from average (4.88)
5
5
136% from average (3.69)
Blocked shots
47% from average (4.25)
2
3
75% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
93% from average (8.63)
8
11
119% from average (9.23)
Shots from outside the box
71% from average (5.63)
4
2
46% from average (4.38)
Passes
85% from average (374.63)
320
517
115% from average (448.77)
Successful passes
83% from average (296.25)
245
452
123% from average (367.77)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (78.13)
77%
87%
107% from average (81.46)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
133% from average (1.5)
2
2
185% from average (1.08)
Saves
89% from average (3.38)
3
2
44% from average (4.54)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
M. Lemmens
J. Hoogma
Goal
61’
U. van Aalst
1
:
0
Substitution
62’
P. van Loon
E. Gurbuz
Goal
64’
J. Trenskow
1
:
1
Substitution
69’
L. Smans
R. Meerveld
Substitution
69’
L. Brouwers
N. Courtens
Substitution
69’
L. Brouwers
N. Courtens
Substitution
69’
L. Smans
R. Meerveld
Goal
77’
O. Braude
1
:
2
Goal
82’
D. Haen
2
:
2
Substitution
85’
A. Ciranni
N. Tjoe a On
Substitution
85’
A. Et Taibi
C. Twigt
Substitution
85’
L. Oyen
M. Rivera
Substitution
86’
A. Et Taibi
C. Twigt
Substitution
86’
L. Oyen
M. Rivera
Substitution
87’
T. Verheydt
K. Boogaard
Substitution
88’
T. Verheydt
K. Boogaard
Match Completed
2
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Willem II
TD
T. Didillon Hodl
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
TV
T. Vilhena
Inactive
Definitely will not play
JS
J. Schuurman
Knock
Definitely will not play
AL
A. Lachkar
Groin Injury
Definitely will not play
AC
A. Culum
Foot Injury
Definitely will not play
LA
L. Abildgaard
Inactive
Definitely will not play
AZ
A. Zarrouk
Surgery
Definitely will not play
Heerenveen
ML
M. Linday
Inactive
Definitely will not play
ME
M. Egbring
Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Willem II
9 D. Haen
7 J. Slory
19 U. van Aalst
50 E. Gurbuz
6 C. Twigt
8 K. Boogaard
24 N. Tjoe a On
4 J. Hoogma
3 F. Stam
5 H. ter Avest
31 Karst de Leeuw
31 K. de Leeuw
Formation · 4-4-2 Heerenveen
10 R. Meerveld
9 D. Vente
7 M. Rivera
6 D. Proper
36 N. Courtens
20 J. Trenskow
19 V. Zagaritis
3 M. Willemsen
4 S. Kersten
45 O. Braude
22 B. Klaverboer

Starting lineups

#
Player
31
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+2
50
~
~
~
+4
19
~
~
1
+4
7
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
1
+4
31
~
~
~
~
#
Player
22
~
~
~
+1
45
~
~
1
+2
4
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
+1
19
~
~
~
+2
36
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
+2
20
~
~
1
+3
7
~
~
~
+4
10
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+1

Substitutions

#
Player
21
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
83
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
40
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
47
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Willem II - Heerenveen 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 7
2
2nd half 5
11
Result 12
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Willem II
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Heerenveen
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Willem II - Heerenveen 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Willem II and Heerenveen before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Willem II - Heerenveen 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works