Eredivisie
30.08 · 15:30
· Finished
Willem II
2 : 2
Heerenveen
14.02
X4.45
21.82
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.50.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
2.50
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.9%
exp. goals
2.78
edge
-4.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.04.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
08.12.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
05.03.22
0:0
Under 2.5
21.11.21
1:2
Over 2.5 won