Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 29.08.2026 17:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Excelsior
W
W
W
W
L
Sparta Rotterdam
D
D
L
W
D
Eredivisie
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Netherlands
xG 1.21
0.97
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
Most likely outcome — Sparta Rotterdam (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Excelsior
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Sparta Rotterdam
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Excelsior
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Sparta Rotterdam
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Sparta Rotterdam
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Excelsior
17%
Sparta Rotterdam
83%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.6
3.15
Avg. corners per match
9.85
11.25
Avg. yellow cards per match
2.8
4
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Excelsior: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓Excelsior: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 8 goals is scored
↓Excelsior: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 1
↓Excelsior: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
29.08.2026 Excelsior plays away against Sparta Rotterdam. The referee appointed for this match is Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.55
Average CLV
+6.25%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
91% from average (2.2)
2
1
74% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
77% from average (1.57)
1.21
0.97
73% from average (1.32)
Possession
88% from average (49.92)
44%
56%
117% from average (48)
Corners
142% from average (4.23)
6
4
75% from average (5.33)
Yellow cards
222% from average (0.9)
2
1
46% from average (2.18)
75% from average (4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
117% from average (11.08)
13
7
57% from average (12.25)
84% from average (23.84)
Shots on goal
108% from average (13.92)
15
10
73% from average (13.75)
Shots on target
94% from average (5.31)
5
2
51% from average (3.92)
Shots off target
102% from average (4.92)
5
4
62% from average (6.5)
Blocked shots
136% from average (3.69)
5
4
120% from average (3.33)
Shots from inside the box
125% from average (9.62)
12
5
54% from average (9.25)
Shots from outside the box
70% from average (4.31)
3
5
111% from average (4.5)
Passes
87% from average (425.77)
371
487
123% from average (395.67)
Successful passes
87% from average (336.77)
293
406
128% from average (317.67)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (78.69)
79%
83%
104% from average (79.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.38)
0
0
0% from average (1.7)
Saves
27% from average (3.69)
1
3
103% from average (2.92)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
20’
Jens Toornstra
Goal
24’
A. Sliti
1
:0
Yellow Card
28’
Simon Janssen
Yellow Card
28’
Simon Janssen
Yellow Card
37’
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson
Substitution
39’
C. Terho
R. van Cruijsen
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Goal
48’
M. Zonneveld
1
:1
Substitution
59’
A. Jahanbakhsh
A. Sliti
Substitution
59’
E. da Silva Moreira
D. van Vianen
Substitution
59’
E. da Silva Moreira
D. van Vianen
Substitution
59’
A. Jahanbakhsh
A. Sliti
Substitution
67’
I. Silva Timas
A. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
67’
Nesto groen
David Garden
Substitution
67’
Nesto groen
David Garden
Substitution
67’
I. Silva Timas
A. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
67’
N. Groen
D. Garden
Substitution
67’
N. Groen
D. Garden
Substitution
83’
A. Roaldsoy
J. Toornstra
Substitution
83’
J. Ideho
M. van Bergen
Substitution
85’
Kasey Bos
Simon Janssen
Substitution
85’
K. Bos
S. Janssen
Substitution
89’
N. Verschuren
J. Baas
Goal
90’
N. Groen
2
:1
Goal
90’+2’
N. Groen
3
:1
Match Completed
2
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Excelsior
KB
In doubt
K. Bos
Shoulder Injury
DG
In doubt
D. Garden
Injury
Sparta Rotterdam
No injured or suspended players
Formation · 4-3-4
Excelsior
30
A. Thorsteinsson
19
David Garden
19
D. Garden
7
A. Sliti
6
D. van Vianen
8
I. Yegoian
20
L. Hartjes
15
S. Janssen
14
J. Plug
4
C. Widell
3
R. Meissen
1
S. van Gassel
Formation · 4-2-4-1
Sparta Rotterdam
9
M. Zonneveld
11
M. van Bergen
10
S. Mito
7
Robin van Cruijsen
7
R. van Cruijsen
8
J. Toornstra
6
J. Baas
5
B. Kuipers
4
B. Martins Indi
3
M. Young
2
L. Martes
1
F. Bednarek
Starting lineups
#
Player
19
D. Garden
~
~
~
~
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam 29.08.2026
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam before the match 29.08.2026
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