Eredivisie
29.08 · 17:30
· Finished
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.55.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.55
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
81.5%
exp. goals
2.67
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.05.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
14.09.25
0:1
Under 2.5
17.02.24
2:4
Over 2.5 won
01.10.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won