Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 28.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Groningen
D
W
W
W
L
Fortuna Sittard
L
W
D
W
L
Eredivisie
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Netherlands
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
xG 1.60
0.88
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Groningen or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Groningen
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fortuna Sittard
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Groningen
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Fortuna Sittard
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Groningen or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Groningen
71%
Fortuna Sittard
29%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.3
3.3
Avg. corners per match
10.46
10.23
Avg. yellow cards per match
2.5
2.42
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Groningen: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Groningen: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 2
↓Groningen: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Groningen: Judging by recent matches, Groningen" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Groningen will face Fortuna Sittard 28.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is Martijn Vos, Netherlands. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.33
Average CLV
+10.77%
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +2%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (1.6)
2
3
214% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
89% from average (1.8)
1.6
0.88
66% from average (1.33)
Possession
141% from average (48.08)
68%
32%
80% from average (40.15)
Corners
142% from average (4.92)
7
2
60% from average (3.31)
Yellow cards
180% from average (1.67)
3
4
301% from average (1.33)
160% from average (4.38)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
81% from average (9.92)
8
8
83% from average (9.69)
67% from average (23.88)
Shots on goal
150% from average (14.62)
22
9
75% from average (12)
Shots on target
34% from average (5.85)
2
5
108% from average (4.62)
Shots off target
300% from average (5)
15
1
22% from average (4.54)
Blocked shots
133% from average (3.77)
5
3
105% from average (2.85)
Shots from inside the box
165% from average (9.69)
16
6
80% from average (7.46)
Shots from outside the box
122% from average (4.92)
6
3
66% from average (4.54)
Passes
136% from average (405.08)
551
279
84% from average (333.23)
Successful passes
150% from average (319.15)
478
206
83% from average (247.08)
Pass accuracy
111% from average (78.54)
87%
74%
101% from average (73.23)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
211% from average (1.42)
3
1
81% from average (1.23)
Saves
54% from average (3.69)
2
1
26% from average (3.85)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
4’
Rodrigo Guth
Goal
12’
M. Ihattaren
0
:1
Goal
19’
D. van der Werff
1
:1
Goal
20’
D. van der Werff
2
:1
Goal
28’
L. Zeefuik
2
:2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:2
Substitution
64’
O. Zawada
B. Willumsson
Substitution
64’
J. Ondrejka
T. Land
Substitution
64’
J. Ondrejka
T. Land
Substitution
64’
O. Zawada
B. Willumsson
Yellow Card
65’
Jacob Ondrejka
Substitution
68’
N. de Groot
M. Ihattaren
Yellow Card
69’
Justin Hubner
Goal
72’
A. Descotte
2
:3
Substitution
80’
Y. Oukili
S. Zand
Substitution
81’
T. Hernes
W. Prins
Substitution
81’
T. Hernes
W. Prins
Substitution
81’
S. van Ottele
R. Guth
Substitution
81’
S. van Ottele
R. Guth
Substitution
82’
N. Eggens
M. Csinger
Substitution
82’
A. Nordin
D. van der Werff
Substitution
82’
A. Nordin
D. van der Werff
Substitution
82’
N. Eggens
M. Csinger
Substitution
82’
Y. Oukili
S. Zand
Own goal
87’
J. Hubner
3
:3
Yellow Card
88’
Etienne Vaessen
Yellow Card
88’
Lequincio Zeefuik
Yellow Card
90’+1’
E. Michut
Yellow Card
90’+1’
E. Michut
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Édouard Michut
Substitution
90’+4’
M. Gbemou
A. Descotte
Yellow Card
90’+7’
T. Hernes
Yellow Card
90’+7’
Travis Hernes
Match Completed
2
:3
Injuries and suspensions
Groningen
MR
Definitely will not play
M. Rente
Injury
MJ
Definitely will not play
M. Jeng
Leg Injury
TM
Definitely will not play
T. Mercera
Injury
RM
Definitely will not play
R. Metu
Injury
Fortuna Sittard
KP
Definitely will not play
K. Peterson
Inactive
OR
Definitely will not play
O. Romeny
Red Card
IM
In doubt
I. Marquez
Injury
SS
Definitely will not play
S. Simons
Hamstring Injury
RB
Definitely will not play
R. Bayram
Knee Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Groningen
9
B. Willumsson
24
P. Clement
26
T. van Bergen
17
D. van der Werff
8
T. de Jonge
18
T. Land
2
W. Prins
4
M. Csinger
3
T. Blokzijl
14
J. Schreuders
1
E. Vaessen
Formation · 5-3-2
Fortuna Sittard
25
L. Zeefuik
9
A. Descotte
22
S. Zand
20
E. Michut
52
M. Ihattaren
8
J. Dahlhaus
28
J. Hubner
3
R. Guth
23
P. Brittijn
12
I. Pinto
31
M. Branderhorst
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
12
N. Brandis
~
~
~
~
#
Player
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 28.08.2026
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Groningen and Fortuna Sittard before the match 28.08.2026
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