Eredivisie
28.08 · 21:00
· Finished
Groningen
2 : 3
Fortuna Sittard
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.33.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.81
high
Over 9.5
1.84
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
82.6%
exp. goals
2.70
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.01.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
25.10.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
16.03.25
1:0
Under 2.5
26.10.24
0:1
Under 2.5