Heracles - De Graafschap 04.09.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Heracles
D
W
W
W
W
De Graafschap
L
D
L
L
L
Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | Netherlands
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Heracles
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Heracles
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
De Graafschap
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Heracles
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · De Graafschap
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Heracles and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Heracles
69%
De Graafschap
31%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.5
4.15
Avg. corners per match
10.73
10.45
Avg. yellow cards per match
2.47
3.36
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Heracles: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 7 goals is scored
↓Heracles: In 10 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 3
↓Heracles: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↑Heracles: 4 matches in a row "Heracles" wins
Brief Overview
Heracles - De Graafschap, the match will take place 04.09.2026. The referee will be W. Wiersma. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Eerste Divisie, KNVB Beker, Friendlies Clubs. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons. The most likely outcome is a win for Heracles, judging by the odds of 1.45.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.60
Average CLV
+1.96%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -36.8%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
357% from average (1.4)
5
0
0% from average (1.8)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.38)
0
0
0% from average (1.52)
Possession
90% from average (49.07)
44%
56%
102% from average (55)
Corners
91% from average (5.47)
5
1
18% from average (5.64)
Yellow cards
116% from average (1.73)
2
2
138% from average (1.45)
105% from average (3.82)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (14.4)
14
13
108% from average (12.09)
107% from average (25.17)
Shots on goal
114% from average (14)
16
5
30% from average (16.55)
Shots on target
167% from average (4.8)
8
3
52% from average (5.82)
Shots off target
59% from average (6.8)
4
2
29% from average (7)
Blocked shots
167% from average (2.4)
4
0
0% from average (3.73)
Shots from inside the box
120% from average (9.2)
11
1
9% from average (11.36)
Shots from outside the box
104% from average (4.8)
5
4
77% from average (5.18)
Passes
95% from average (371.93)
352
482
109% from average (441)
Successful passes
93% from average (286.4)
267
381
105% from average (362.09)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
62% from average (1.62)
1
1
46% from average (2.18)
Saves
73% from average (4.13)
3
2
63% from average (3.18)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
2’
Jean-Paul N'djoli
1
:0
Yellow Card
23’
Maurice Wrusch
Goal
41’
Chafik Abbas
2
:0
Substitution
45’
Bjorn van Zijl
Nart Ahmeti-Grainca
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:0
Substitution
62’
Thomas Bruns
Max Hauswirth
Substitution
63’
Kyano Kwint
Julian kania
Substitution
63’
Fedde De Jong
Kaya Symons
Substitution
63’
Kyano Kwint
Julian kania
Substitution
63’
Mike te Wierik
Maurice Wrusch
Yellow Card
66’
Nolan Martens
Goal
72’
Tristan Van Gilst
3
:0
Substitution
73’
Jorn Triep
gabriele finocchiaro
Substitution
76’
David Tomic
Chafik Abbas
Substitution
79’
Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
Nolan Martens
Goal
82’
Jean-Paul N'djoli
4
:0
Substitution
84’
Stijn Bultman
Djevencio van der Kust
Substitution
85’
Mimeirhel Benita
Tristan Van Gilst
Yellow Card
86’
Manny Rodriguez Baldera
Yellow Card
89’
Ties Wieggers
Penalty
90’
Jean-Paul N'djoli
5
:0
Match Completed
5
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Heracles
27
J. N'djoli
18
M. Hauswirth
17
T. van Gilst
7
C. Abbas
5
D. van der Kust
32
S. Scheperman
25
Manny
14
M. Wrusch
4
D. Mirani
15
David Vicente
1
F. de Keijzer
Formation · 4-3-3
De Graafschap
11
T. Mero
9
J. Kania
20
Gabriele Finocchiaro
27
N. Ahmeti-Grainca
8
D. Warmerdam
24
J. Meerstadt
21
K. Symons
15
T. Kok
3
R. Besselink
16
N. Martens
1
T. Wieggers
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Heracles - De Graafschap 04.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
7
3
2nd half
9
2
Result
16
5
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Possession and style
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Heracles
Across all matches
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De Graafschap
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Heracles - De Graafschap 04.09.2026
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
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All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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All outcomes
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Probability from 60 to 100
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Heracles and De Graafschap before the match 04.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Heracles - De Graafschap 04.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works