Eerste Divisie
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
11.5
X5.2
25.85
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.60.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 1.5
2.60
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Over 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.5%
exp. goals
3.80
edge
+4.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.01.25
2:0
Under 2.5
07.04.23
3:5
Over 2.5 won
07.10.22
3:2
Over 2.5 won
31.07.21
2:2
Over 2.5 won