Almere City FC - Jong Ajax 04.09.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Almere City FC
L
D
W
W
W
Jong Ajax
L
L
L
W
D
Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | Netherlands
Yanmar Stadion
Yanmar Stadion
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Almere City FC or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Almere City FC
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Jong Ajax
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Almere City FC
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Jong Ajax
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Almere City FC or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Almere City FC
82%
Jong Ajax
18%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.65
3.6
Avg. corners per match
10.5
10.22
Avg. yellow cards per match
2
4.18
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Almere City FC: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Almere City FC: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Almere City FC: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Almere City FC: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Jong Ajax will play away against Almere City FC 04.09.2026. The referee appointed for this match is C. Ruperti. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 4.94 on an away win - Jong Ajax.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
3 picks from 3 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.88
Average CLV
-0.65%
Agreement
33%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -5.5%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -5.8%
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -4.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (2.1)
0
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.87)
0
0
0% from average (1.39)
Possession
93% from average (45.17)
42%
58%
118% from average (49.28)
Corners
214% from average (4.67)
10
4
103% from average (3.89)
Yellow cards
133% from average (1.5)
2
3
150% from average (2)
138% from average (3.63)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
112% from average (10.67)
12
15
119% from average (12.56)
118% from average (22.94)
Shots on goal
155% from average (15.5)
24
15
126% from average (11.94)
Shots on target
75% from average (6.67)
5
4
77% from average (5.17)
Shots off target
231% from average (6.5)
15
3
78% from average (3.83)
Blocked shots
172% from average (2.33)
4
8
272% from average (2.94)
Shots from inside the box
157% from average (10.83)
17
9
123% from average (7.33)
Shots from outside the box
150% from average (4.67)
7
6
130% from average (4.61)
Passes
79% from average (374)
296
452
109% from average (415.22)
Successful passes
73% from average (292)
214
368
108% from average (341.17)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
300% from average (1)
3
0
0% from average (1.71)
Saves
72% from average (4.17)
3
4
89% from average (4.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
15’
Substitution
45’+3’
Tijn Peters
Mark Verkuijl
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
49’
Levi Acheampong
Mohamed Jabou Abdalla
Substitution
60’
Milan de Haan
Mees Hoedemakers
Substitution
60’
Jereno van Gom
Teun Bijleveld
Substitution
60’
Byron Burgering
Marley Dors
Substitution
60’
Byron Burgering
Marley Dors
Substitution
60’
Jereno van Gom
Teun Bijleveld
Substitution
60’
Byron Burgering
Marley Dors
Substitution
60’
Milan de Haan
Mees Hoedemakers
Substitution
61’
Byron Burgering
Marley Dors
Substitution
68’
Jamie Jacobs
H. el Dahri
Goal
73’
Jano Monserrate
0
:1
Yellow Card
75’
Diego Pugno
Substitution
75’
Martin Jean Wasinski
Damian van Bruggen
Substitution
75’
Martin Jean Wasinski
Damian van Bruggen
Substitution
75’
Jinairo Johnson
Jano Monserrate
Substitution
75’
Jeshurun Simeon
emre unuvar
Substitution
75’
Jeshurun Simeon
emre unuvar
Substitution
81’
Bas Huisman
James Lawrence
Yellow Card
82’
Emanuel Poku
Substitution
82’
Anass Moumane
Pharell Nash
Yellow Card
84’
Marvyn Muzungu
Yellow Card
90’
Milan de Haan
Yellow Card
90’
Levi Acheampong
Match Completed
0
:1
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Almere City FC
9
F. Druijf
11
M. Dors
21
H. El Dahri
17
E. Poku
6
E. Cornelisse
14
M. Hoedemakers
5
T. Bijleveld
4
J. Lawrence
44
D. van Bruggen
3
J. Jacobs
1
Wessel Speel
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Jong Ajax
9
D. Pugno
11
P. Nash
8
Mohamed Abdalla
10
Alejandro Monserrate
7
E. Ünüvar
6
M. Verkuijl
5
Sinclair de Falco
4
M. Muzungu
3
G. Spina
2
R. van de Pavert
1
J. Heerkens
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Almere City FC - Jong Ajax 04.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
7
3
2nd half
17
12
Result
24
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Almere City FC
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Jong Ajax
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Almere City FC - Jong Ajax 04.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Almere City FC and Jong Ajax before the match 04.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Almere City FC - Jong Ajax 04.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works