Eerste Divisie
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Almere City FC
0 : 1
Jong Ajax
11.57
X5.2
25.6
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.88.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 4.5
1.50
medium
Under 9.5
2.65
low
1
1.50
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 author
33%
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
3.39
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.03.26
2:0
Under 2.5
05.12.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
17.03.23
2:0
Under 2.5
14.10.22
2:3
Over 2.5 won