Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Netherlands
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
xG 2.25
3.31
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
NAC Breda or draw
Most likely outcome — NAC Breda (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Roda
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
NAC Breda
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Roda
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · NAC Breda
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or NAC Breda
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Roda
51%
NAC Breda
49%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.6
3.05
Avg. corners per match
10.17
12
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.42
3.8
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Roda: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Roda: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Roda: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↑Roda: 2 matches in a row "Roda" wins
Brief Overview
Roda - NAC Breda, the match will take place 28.08.2026. The referee will be M. van den Kerkhof. Roda and NAC Breda do not play each other in cups, only within leagues. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
3 picks from 3 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.20
Average CLV
+0.08%
Agreement
33%
Match result: 2
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI +1.1%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI +5.7%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
138% from average (1.45)
2
2
167% from average (1.2)
Expected goals (xG)
147% from average (1.53)
2.25
3.31
245% from average (1.35)
Possession
75% from average (53.33)
40%
60%
116% from average (51.73)
Corners
86% from average (4.67)
4
5
70% from average (7.18)
Yellow cards
67% from average (1.5)
1
4
235% from average (1.7)
142% from average (3.53)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
96% from average (10.42)
10
13
132% from average (9.82)
113% from average (20.28)
Shots on goal
107% from average (12.17)
13
19
111% from average (17.09)
Shots on target
222% from average (4.5)
10
4
94% from average (4.27)
Shots off target
66% from average (4.58)
3
9
118% from average (7.64)
Blocked shots
32% from average (3.08)
1
6
116% from average (5.18)
Shots from inside the box
117% from average (7.67)
9
14
135% from average (10.36)
Shots from outside the box
89% from average (4.5)
4
5
74% from average (6.73)
Passes
81% from average (442.83)
359
541
133% from average (405.45)
Successful passes
82% from average (368.83)
301
476
146% from average (325.64)
Pass accuracy
101% from average (82.83)
84%
88%
111% from average (79)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
144% from average (2.08)
3
1
92% from average (1.09)
Saves
44% from average (4.5)
2
7
203% from average (3.45)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
33’
M. Tol
1
:0
Goal
40’
M. Soumano
1
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:1
Yellow Card
53’
Michael Verrips
Penalty
54’
A. van den Hurk
2
:1
Substitution
55’
M. Seuntjens
C. Brym
Substitution
56’
P. Gladon
M. Soumano
Substitution
56’
B. Lucassen
C. Valerius
Substitution
56’
B. Lucassen
C. Valerius
Substitution
56’
P. Gladon
M. Soumano
Substitution
60’
J. Sleegers
J. Deom
Substitution
60’
D. Van den Buijs
M. Paulissen
Substitution
60’
D. Van den Buijs
M. Paulissen
Substitution
60’
J. Sleegers
J. Deom
Yellow Card
63’
Mats Seuntjens
Substitution
69’
B. Ghalidi
M. Balard
Substitution
71’
J. Kruiver
X. van den Berg
Yellow Card
75’
Anthony van den Hurk
Goal
79’
P. Gladon
2
:2
Substitution
84’
P. Reulen
J. Van Hecke
Substitution
84’
P. Reulen
J. Van Hecke
Substitution
84’
B. Marsman
J. Mensah
Substitution
84’
F. Schenten
A. van den Hurk
Substitution
84’
B. Marsman
J. Mensah
Substitution
84’
F. Schenten
A. van den Hurk
Yellow Card
85’
Paul Gladon
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Brahim Ghalidi
Match Completed
2
:2
Formation · 3-4-2-1
Roda
9
A. van den Hurk
4
J. Nisbet
8
J. Mensah
5
K. Jansen
24
J. Deom
6
M. Paulissen
14
X. van den Berg
15
L. Beerten
11
D. Dorenbosch
3
M. Tol
1
J. Treichel
Formation · 4-4-2
NAC Breda
9
M. Soumano
7
C. Brym
10
M. Nassoh
6
M. Balard
8
F. Jensen
78
J. Van Hecke
22
R. Hillen
12
J. Van den Bergh
4
L. Greiml
25
C. Valerius
1
M. Verrips
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
20
M. Bentoumi
~
~
~
~
#
Player
34
I. Nazih
~
~
~
~
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
4
2nd half
7
15
Result
13
19
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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All
Roda
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
NAC Breda
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Roda - NAC Breda 28.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Roda and NAC Breda before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Roda - NAC Breda 28.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works