Eerste Divisie
28.08 · 21:00
· Finished
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.29
medium
1
2.67
high
Over 2.5
1.65
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
33%
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.5%
exp. goals
2.76
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.05.24
0:5
Over 2.5 won
13.05.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won
23.03.24
3:1
Over 2.5 won
09.09.23
3:1
Over 2.5 won