Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 28.08.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Jong Ajax
L
L
L
L
L
Helmond Sport
L
W
D
L
D
Eerste Divisie
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Netherlands
xG 1.11
0.70
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Helmond Sport or draw
Most likely outcome — Helmond Sport (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Jong Ajax
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Helmond Sport
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Jong Ajax
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · Helmond Sport
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Helmond Sport and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Jong Ajax
58%
Helmond Sport
42%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.6
2.3
Avg. corners per match
9.72
9.15
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.24
3.31
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Jong Ajax: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Jong Ajax: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 10 goals is scored
↓Jong Ajax: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓Jong Ajax: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Jong Ajax will face Helmond Sport 28.08.2026 as the home team. The referee will be N. Boel. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.46
Average CLV
-2.77%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
214% from average (1.4)
3
2
286% from average (0.7)
Expected goals (xG)
85% from average (1.3)
1.11
0.7
82% from average (0.85)
Possession
117% from average (49.39)
58%
42%
87% from average (48.38)
Corners
194% from average (3.61)
7
9
177% from average (5.08)
Yellow cards
100% from average (2)
2
1
45% from average (2.23)
90% from average (3.33)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
86% from average (12.72)
11
13
88% from average (14.85)
101% from average (23.83)
Shots on goal
146% from average (10.94)
16
10
101% from average (9.92)
Shots on target
191% from average (4.72)
9
3
103% from average (2.92)
Shots off target
106% from average (3.78)
4
2
48% from average (4.15)
Blocked shots
123% from average (2.44)
3
5
171% from average (2.92)
Shots from inside the box
102% from average (6.89)
7
9
148% from average (6.08)
Shots from outside the box
222% from average (4.06)
9
1
26% from average (3.85)
Passes
126% from average (418.39)
528
366
87% from average (419.69)
Successful passes
133% from average (345.11)
458
290
85% from average (342.62)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (81.89)
87%
79%
98% from average (80.85)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
57% from average (1.76)
1
1
62% from average (1.62)
Saves
21% from average (4.83)
1
6
269% from average (2.23)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
12’
P. Nash
1
:0
Goal
14’
E. Unuvar
2
:0
Goal
18’
B. Koglin
2
:1
Yellow Card
42’
Wassim Lantaki
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:1
Goal
56’
S. Dekkers
2
:2
Substitution
62’
J. van der Sluijs
K. Ekoli
Goal
64’
D. Pugno
3
:2
Substitution
74’
L. Bajrami
M. Lenaerts
Substitution
74’
T. Poll
W. Lantaki
Substitution
74’
T. Essakkati
H. Ingason
Substitution
74’
L. Bajrami
M. Lenaerts
Substitution
74’
L. Acheampong
T. Peters
Substitution
74’
L. Acheampong
T. Peters
Yellow Card
77’
Jano Monserrate
Substitution
79’
L. Frankel
R. van de Pavert
Substitution
80’
P. Llonch
M. Ludwig
Substitution
83’
A. Camara
J. Monserrate
Substitution
83’
J. Simeon
D. Pugno
Yellow Card
90’+2’
Levi Acheampong
Match Completed
3
:2
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Jong Ajax
9
D. Pugno
11
P. Nash
10
J. Monserrate
7
E. Unuvar
8
T. Peters
6
M. Verkuijl
5
S. de Falco
4
M. Muzungu
3
M. van der Lans
2
R. van de Pavert
1
J. Heerkens
Formation · 4-4-3
Helmond Sport
30
K. Ekoli
94
Mauro Lenaerts
94
M. Lenaerts
19
H. Ingason
6
M. Ludwig
44
X. van der Velde
11
L. Cicero
17
W. Lantaki
43
T. Landheer
4
B. Koglin
20
S. Dekkers
1
M. Bergsen
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
94
M. Lenaerts
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 28.08.2026
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ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport before the match 28.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 28.08.2026
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