Eerste Divisie
28.08 · 21:00
· Finished
Jong Ajax
3 : 2
Helmond Sport
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.46.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.46
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.8%
exp. goals
2.57
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.02.26
5:1
Over 2.5 won
24.11.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
28.04.25
1:0
Under 2.5
04.10.24
1:1
Under 2.5