Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Inter or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Inter
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Napoli
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Inter
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Napoli
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Inter or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Inter
0%
Napoli
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.15
2.75
Avg. corners per match
9.54
8.58
Avg. yellow cards per match
2.77
2.73
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Inter: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Inter: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Inter: In 17 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Inter: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Inter 05.09.2026 will host the away team - Napoli. The referee appointed for this match is S. Sozza. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 6 seasons the teams face each other. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 5.42 on an away win - Napoli.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.57
Average CLV
—
Agreement
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +12.9%
Fouls over/under: Under 25.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +43%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
143% from average (2.1)
3
2
114% from average (1.75)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.81)
0
0
0% from average (1.23)
Possession
102% from average (61.54)
63%
37%
64% from average (57.83)
Corners
186% from average (5.38)
10
5
104% from average (4.83)
Yellow cards
81% from average (1.23)
1
2
157% from average (1.27)
85% from average (3.53)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
72% from average (9.69)
7
7
78% from average (8.92)
57% from average (24.67)
Shots on goal
181% from average (16)
29
16
131% from average (12.17)
Shots on target
151% from average (5.31)
8
7
156% from average (4.5)
Shots off target
214% from average (6.54)
14
4
86% from average (4.67)
Blocked shots
169% from average (4.15)
7
5
162% from average (3.08)
Shots from inside the box
170% from average (11.77)
20
13
186% from average (7)
Shots from outside the box
213% from average (4.23)
9
3
58% from average (5.17)
Passes
90% from average (602.92)
544
340
62% from average (551.83)
Successful passes
90% from average (539.62)
486
265
54% from average (487.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
100% from average (1)
1
2
71% from average (2.82)
Saves
279% from average (2.15)
6
5
200% from average (2.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
35’
Antonio Vergara
Substitution
45’
Curtis Jones
Petar Sučić
Substitution
45’
Marcus Thuram
Pio Esposito
Substitution
45’
Marcus Thuram
Pio Esposito
Substitution
45’
Curtis Jones
Petar Sučić
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Goal
50’
Matteo Politano
0
:1
Goal
53’
Rasmus Hojlund
0
:2
Goal
56’
Lautaro Martínez
1
:2
Substitution
62’
Kevin De Bruyne
Antonio Vergara
Substitution
62’
David Neres
Matteo Politano
Substitution
62’
Carlos Augusto
Federico Dimarco
Yellow Card
68’
Lautaro Martínez
Substitution
72’
Lorenzo Lucca
Rasmus Hojlund
Substitution
72’
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Piotr Zieliński
Yellow Card
77’
Rafael Marin Zamora
Substitution
79’
Billy Gilmour
Stanislav Lobotka
Substitution
79’
Ange-Yoan Bonny
Alessandro Bastoni
Substitution
80’
Benoît Badiashile
Alisson Santos
Goal
82’
Marcus Thuram
2
:2
Goal
90’+1’
Lautaro Martínez
3
:2
Match Completed
3
:2
Injuries and suspensions
Inter
DS
In doubt
D. Spence
Inactive
Napoli
SM
Definitely will not play
S. McTominay
Heart Problems
AB
Definitely will not play
A. Buongiorno
Knee Injury
G
Definitely will not play
Giovane
Groin Injury
LM
Definitely will not play
L. Marianucci
Knee Injury
Formation · 3-5-2
Inter
10
Lautaro Martínez
94
F. Esposito
32
F. Dimarco
8
P. Sučić
7
P. Zieliński
23
N. Barella
17
A. Diouf
95
A. Bastoni
25
M. Akanji
31
Y. Bisseck
1
Josep Martínez
Formation · 4-3-3
Napoli
27
Alisson Santos
19
R. Højlund
21
M. Politano
26
A. Vergara
68
S. Lobotka
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
37
L. Spinazzola
16
Rafa Marín
13
Amir Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Inter - Napoli 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
10
6
2nd half
19
10
Result
29
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Inter
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Napoli
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Inter - Napoli 05.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Inter and Napoli before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Inter - Napoli 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works