Matches / Serie A / Inter — Napoli · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Serie A 05.09 · 19:00 · Finished
Inter
home
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
Napoli
away
11.73 X3.9 25.64
2 picks on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.57.

Picks on the match

2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticK model TheAnalyticK model model 1 rating place · bankroll 2% Over 2.5 1.71 low TheAnalytic model TheAnalytic model model 4 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 25.5 1.43 low

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5 1 author
Fouls over/under: Under 25.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalytic model

Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability 81.4% exp. goals 2.61 edge -8.8%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

11.01.26 2:2 Over 2.5 won
25.10.25 1:3 Over 2.5 won
01.03.25 1:1 Under 2.5
10.11.24 1:1 Under 2.5