Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
AS Roma
Most likely outcome — AS Roma (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Lecce
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
AS Roma
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 2.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Lecce
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · AS Roma
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : AS Roma and +2.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Lecce
0%
AS Roma
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.4
3.8
Avg. corners per match
8.71
9.85
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.57
3.77
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Lecce: In 11 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Lecce: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 7 goals is scored
↓Lecce: In 8 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Lecce: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Lecce - AS Roma, match from 31.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Daniele Chiffi, Italy. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. Odds 1.46 on a win AS Roma indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.45
Average CLV
-7.64%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +12.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.1)
0
4
186% from average (2.15)
Expected goals (xG)
75% from average (0.99)
0.74
3.35
196% from average (1.71)
Possession
94% from average (38.36)
36%
64%
119% from average (54)
Corners
57% from average (3.5)
2
1
18% from average (5.54)
Yellow cards
54% from average (1.86)
1
1
52% from average (1.92)
65% from average (3.08)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
75% from average (11.93)
9
8
56% from average (14.23)
67% from average (25.33)
Shots on goal
70% from average (9.93)
7
15
113% from average (13.31)
Shots on target
100% from average (3)
3
8
183% from average (4.38)
Shots off target
86% from average (4.64)
4
7
128% from average (5.46)
Blocked shots
0% from average (2.29)
0
0
0% from average (3.46)
Shots from inside the box
46% from average (6.57)
3
10
96% from average (10.46)
Shots from outside the box
119% from average (3.36)
4
5
175% from average (2.85)
Passes
128% from average (292.71)
376
680
143% from average (475.77)
Successful passes
135% from average (217.43)
294
596
151% from average (394.69)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (73.57)
78%
88%
107% from average (82.15)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.08)
0
9
419% from average (2.15)
Saves
114% from average (3.5)
4
2
72% from average (2.77)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
4’
D. Malen
0
:1
Yellow Card
9’
Donyell Malen
Goal
23’
D. Malen
0
:2
Goal
25’
M. Soule
0
:3
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:3
Substitution
46’
K. Ndri
Tiago Gabriel
Substitution
46’
Y. Maleh
O. Gorter
Substitution
46’
Y. Maleh
O. Gorter
Substitution
46’
K. Ndri
Tiago Gabriel
Substitution
54’
N. Stulic
W. Geubbels
Substitution
60’
N. Molina
Wesley Franca
Substitution
60’
R. Mora
M. Soule
Goal
65’
R. Mora
0
:4
Substitution
67’
N. Pisilli
M. Kone
Substitution
67’
S. Castro
D. Malen
Substitution
72’
A. Fatah
S. Pierotti
Substitution
72’
I. Ilic
O. Ngom
Substitution
72’
I. Ilic
O. Ngom
Substitution
72’
A. Fatah
S. Pierotti
Substitution
84’
M. De Roon
P. Dybala
Yellow Card
90’
Ivan Ilić
Match Completed
0
:4
Injuries and suspensions
Lecce
LB
In doubt
L. Banda
Inactive
AS Roma
LB
Definitely will not play
L. Balerdi
Calf Injury
LP
Definitely will not play
L. Pellegrini
Thigh Injury
DR
Definitely will not play
D. Rensch
Muscle Injury
MB
Definitely will not play
M. Bah
Knee Injury
Formation · 3-5-2
Lecce
69
W. Geubbels
50
S. Pierotti
3
C. Ndaba
28
O. Gorter
79
O. Ngom
29
L. Coulibaly
17
D. Veiga
44
Tiago Gabriel
4
K. Gaspar
5
J. Siebert
30
W. Falcone
Formation · 3-4-2-1
AS Roma
14
D. Malen
18
M. Soule
21
P. Dybala
43
Wesley Franca
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
77
E. Lulli
22
M. Hermoso
23
G. Mancini
87
D. Ghilardi
99
M. Svilar
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
31
E. Scott
~
~
~
~
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Lecce - AS Roma 31.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
2
9
2nd half
5
6
Result
7
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Lecce
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Lecce - AS Roma 31.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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All available leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Lecce and AS Roma before the match 31.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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10
15
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50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Lecce - AS Roma 31.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works