Serie A
31.08 · 19:30
· Finished
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
18
X4.5
21.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.45.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.45
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
83.3%
exp. goals
2.28
edge
+6.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.03.26
0:1
Under 2.5
06.01.26
0:2
Under 2.5
29.03.25
0:1
Under 2.5
07.12.24
1:4
Over 2.5 won