Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Lazio or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Lazio
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Genoa
0%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Lazio
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Lazio
0%
Genoa
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3
2.65
Avg. corners per match
8.67
7.83
Avg. yellow cards per match
4
3.25
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Lazio: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Lazio: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Lazio: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Lazio: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Lazio - Genoa, the match will take place 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Ermanno Feliciani, Italy. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Serie A, Coppa Italia, Friendlies Clubs. It has already been 6 seasons the teams face each other. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Lazio the odds are just 2.32.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.24
Average CLV
+13.76%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
54% from average (1.85)
1
0
0% from average (1.1)
Expected goals (xG)
142% from average (1.14)
1.62
0.42
39% from average (1.07)
Possession
94% from average (49.17)
46%
54%
106% from average (50.92)
Corners
98% from average (4.08)
4
2
52% from average (3.83)
Yellow cards
44% from average (2.25)
1
2
241% from average (0.83)
81% from average (3.7)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
151% from average (11.92)
18
6
70% from average (8.58)
89% from average (27.1)
Shots on goal
143% from average (10.5)
15
8
68% from average (11.83)
Shots on target
52% from average (3.83)
2
1
32% from average (3.17)
Shots off target
181% from average (4.42)
8
4
79% from average (5.08)
Blocked shots
222% from average (2.25)
5
3
84% from average (3.58)
Shots from inside the box
138% from average (6.5)
9
5
69% from average (7.25)
Shots from outside the box
150% from average (4)
6
3
66% from average (4.58)
Passes
99% from average (492.5)
488
565
135% from average (417.75)
Successful passes
97% from average (429.75)
418
488
142% from average (344.17)
Pass accuracy
99% from average (86.92)
86%
86%
106% from average (81.25)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.58)
0
2
183% from average (1.09)
Saves
29% from average (3.5)
1
1
41% from average (2.42)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
14’
Leo Østigård
Goal
25’
D. Frattesi
1
:0
Yellow Card
35’
D. De Rossi
Substitution
37’
R. Belahyane
N. Rovella
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
58’
Junior Messias
D. Sow
Substitution
63’
A. Pedraza
N. Tavares
Substitution
63’
G. Isaksen
M. Cancellieri
Substitution
63’
A. Pedraza
N. Tavares
Substitution
63’
G. Isaksen
M. Cancellieri
Substitution
63’
M. Osmajic
Vitinha
Substitution
63’
M. Osmajic
Vitinha
Substitution
78’
Amorim
J. Vasquez
Substitution
78’
F. Meichtry
T. Baldanzi
Substitution
78’
F. Meichtry
T. Baldanzi
Substitution
78’
Amorim
J. Vasquez
Substitution
80’
A. Pinamonti
B. Dia
Substitution
80’
M. Lazzari
R. Floriani
Substitution
80’
M. Lazzari
R. Floriani
Substitution
80’
A. Pinamonti
B. Dia
Substitution
81’
A. Pinamonti
B. Dia
Yellow Card
90’+5’
M. Zaccagni
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Mattia Zaccagni
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Amorim
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Alexsandro Amorim
Yellow Card
90’+6’
Amorim
Match Completed
1
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Lazio
SG
Definitely will not play
S. Gigot
Inactive
P
Definitely will not play
Patric
Ankle Injury
AM
Definitely will not play
A. Marusic
Muscle Injury
DC
Definitely will not play
D. Cataldi
Muscle Injury
JS
In doubt
J. Sutalo
Coach's decision
LP
Definitely will not play
L. Pellegrini
Injury
AF
Definitely will not play
A. Furlanetto
Knee Injury
FD
Definitely will not play
F. Dele-Bashiru
Muscle Injury
Genoa
LV
Definitely will not play
L. Venturino
Knee Injury
Formation · 4-3-3
Lazio
10
M. Zaccagni
19
B. Dia
22
M. Cancellieri
24
K. Taylor
6
N. Rovella
16
D. Frattesi
17
N. Tavares
25
O. Provstgaard
5
D. Doekhi
15
R. Floriani
35
C. Mandas
Formation · 3-4-2-1
Genoa
29
L. Colombo
9
Vitinha
8
T. Baldanzi
15
B. Norton-Cuffy
97
D. Sow
32
M. Frendrup
77
M. E. Ellertsson
22
J. Vasquez
5
L. Ostigard
27
A. Marcandalli
1
J. Bijlow
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
74
M. Doucoure
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match Lazio - Genoa 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
6
1
2nd half
9
7
Result
15
8
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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Lazio
Across all matches
Home only
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Genoa
Across all matches
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Lazio - Genoa 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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10
15
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Lazio and Genoa before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Lazio - Genoa 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works