Serie A
30.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
12.43
X3.04
23.65
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.24.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 5.5
1.24
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.6%
exp. goals
2.41
edge
-4.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
30.01.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
29.09.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
23.04.25
2:0
Under 2.5
27.10.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won