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Alianza Lima — Deportivo Garcilaso
Primera División

Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 30.08.2026 03:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
D
W
D
W
D
Finished
0
1
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1st half 0:1
2nd half 0:0
30.08.2026 03:30
Primera División
Clausura - 7 | 2026 | Peru
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
35% confidence
Main prediction
Alianza Lima or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Alianza Lima
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Deportivo Garcilaso
30%
Totals prediction
Total · Alianza Lima
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Deportivo Garcilaso
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Alianza Lima
85%
Deportivo Garcilaso
15%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.45 2.25
Avg. corners per match 5.67 8.29
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.27 3.93
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Alianza Lima 30.08.2026 will host the away team - Deportivo Garcilaso. This match will be officiated by S. Lozano. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. It has already been 4 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Alianza Lima, judging by the odds of 1.27.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.53
Average CLV
-1.94%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -13.1%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (1.6)
0
1
69% from average (1.45)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.42)
0
0
0% from average (1.6)
Possession
133% from average (53.33)
71%
29%
66% from average (43.71)
Corners
286% from average (3.5)
10
2
76% from average (2.64)
Yellow cards
138% from average (2.18)
3
3
150% from average (2)
130% from average (4.6)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
127% from average (10.25)
13
16
121% from average (13.21)
115% from average (25.27)
Shots on goal
181% from average (13.83)
25
8
72% from average (11.14)
Shots on target
116% from average (5.17)
6
5
135% from average (3.71)
Shots off target
261% from average (5.75)
15
2
44% from average (4.57)
Blocked shots
137% from average (2.92)
4
1
35% from average (2.86)
Shots from inside the box
223% from average (8.08)
18
4
67% from average (5.93)
Shots from outside the box
122% from average (5.75)
7
4
77% from average (5.21)
Passes
122% from average (388.58)
476
200
65% from average (307.29)
Successful passes
127% from average (316.25)
402
121
51% from average (235.29)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (79)
84%
61%
81% from average (75.14)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
261% from average (2.3)
6
0
0% from average (1.79)
Saves
124% from average (2.42)
3
6
171% from average (3.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Penalty
29’
B. Da Silva
0
:
1
Yellow Card
41’
F. Castelli
Yellow Card
45’+1’
J. Velez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Substitution
46’
F. Girotti
Paolo Guerrero
Substitution
46’
C. Neira
A. Cantero
Substitution
46’
C. Neira
A. Cantero
Substitution
46’
F. Girotti
Paolo Guerrero
Substitution
63’
C. Olivares
F. Castelli
Yellow Card
72’
A. Salazar
Substitution
75’
C. Carbajal
M. Antoni
Substitution
75’
A. Burlamaqui
L. Advincula
Substitution
75’
L. Ramos
J. Velez
Substitution
75’
L. Ramos
J. Velez
Substitution
75’
C. Carbajal
M. Antoni
Substitution
76’
L. Ramos
J. Velez
Yellow Card
81’
R. Garces
Substitution
82’
A. Ascues
F. Arancibia
Substitution
88’
S. Ramirez
B. Da Silva
Yellow Card
90’+3’
N. Diaz
Yellow Card
90’+3’
A. Gomez
Match Completed
0
:
1
Formation · 4-1-3-2 Alianza Lima
8 E. Castillo
34 Paolo Guerrero
20 J. Velez
11 A. Cantero
7 F. Gaibor
5 E. Pavez
2 N. Diaz
3 M. Antoni
6 R. Garces
17 L. Advincula
1 A. Duarte
Formation · 4-2-4-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
9 F. Castelli
30 Beto Da Silva
30 B. Da Silva
10 K. Sandoval
11 F. Arancibia
8 A. Gonzalez
18 C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
23 X. Moreno
19 A. Gomez
2 A. Salazar
55 E. Canales
1 P. Zubczuk

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
~
6
~
1
~
+3
3
~
~
~
+2
2
~
1
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+4
20
~
1
~
+3
34
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+4
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
55
~
~
~
+1
2
~
1
~
+2
19
~
1
~
+2
23
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+3
11
~
~
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+3
30
~
~
1
+5
9
~
1
~
+2
30
B. Da Silva
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
12
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+4
18
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
+4
9
~
~
~
+2
25
~
~
~
~
#
Player
31
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
+3
17
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 13
5
2nd half 12
3
Result 25
8
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Alianza Lima
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Deportivo Garcilaso
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Alianza Lima and Deportivo Garcilaso before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works