Matches / Primera División / Alianza Lima — Deportivo Garcilaso · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Primera División 30.08 · 03:30 · Finished
Alianza Lima
home
Alianza Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo Garcilaso
away
11.35 X5.25 215.98
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.53.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 1.5 2.53 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 84.1% exp. goals 2.25 edge +11.9%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

15.03.26 1:1 Under 2.5
14.09.25 3:4 Over 2.5 won
15.04.25 1:0 Under 2.5
27.10.24 2:1 Over 2.5 won