Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Neftchi or draw
Most likely outcome — Neftchi (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Nasaf
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Neftchi
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Nasaf
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Neftchi
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Neftchi
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Nasaf
19%
Neftchi
81%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2
2.9
Avg. corners per match
10
0
Avg. yellow cards per match
3
0
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Nasaf: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Nasaf: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Nasaf: 4 matches in a row "Nasaf" loses
↓Nasaf: In 5 matches in a row "Nasaf" scores no more than 1 goals
Brief Overview
Nasaf 04.09.2026 will host the away team - Neftchi. The referee appointed for this match is I. Tantashev. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 5 last seasons. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Neftchi - the odds for it are just 1.97.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.89
Average CLV
+3.94%
Agreement
50%
Match result: 2
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +1%
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
5’
I. Alibaev
Goal
6’
S. Mukhitdinov
1
:0
Goal
7’
U. Eshmurodov
2
:0
Goal
8’
B. Abdikholikov
3
:0
Goal
9’
B. Abdikholikov
4
:0
Substitution
20’
B. Rahmatov
M. Rakhmatov
Goal
22’
S. Mukhitdinov
5
:0
Goal
40’
A. Shala
6
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
6
:0
Substitution
46’
A. Odilov
N. Abduganiyev
Goal
53’
B. Abdikholikov
7
:0
Yellow Card
54’
A. Davronov
Yellow Card
56’
A. Davronov
Goal
58’
A. Odilov
7
:1
Goal
59’
A. Odilov
7
:2
Substitution
59’
A. Ismoilov
K. Giyosov
Substitution
59’
S. Perica
Z. Marusic
Substitution
59’
S. Perica
Z. Marusic
Substitution
59’
A. Ismoilov
K. Giyosov
Substitution
69’
Y. Berdirahmonov
A. Shala
Yellow Card
71’
A. Gofurov
Yellow Card
72’
A. Gofurov
Substitution
78’
M. Ubaydullaev
I. Alibaev
Substitution
78’
B. Toshmirzaev
Ratinho
Substitution
78’
B. Toshmirzaev
Ratinho
Substitution
78’
M. Ubaydullaev
I. Alibaev
Goal
80’
A. Davronov
8
:2
Substitution
87’
Z. Sadullayev
O. Rustamov
Substitution
87’
P. Ghudushauri
A. Gulomov
Substitution
87’
P. Ghudushauri
A. Gulomov
Substitution
87’
Z. Sadullayev
O. Rustamov
Substitution
88’
P. Ghudushauri
A. Gulomov
Goal
89’
S. Perica
8
:3
Goal
90’
S. Perica
8
:4
Match Completed
6
:2
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
4
B. Ciger
~
~
~
~
20
A. Gofurov
~
~
~
~
15
N. Abduganiyev
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
3
M. Abdusoliev
~
~
~
~
76
Z. Sadullayev
~
~
~
~
#
Player
30
R. Fomin
~
~
~
~
22
A. Odilov
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match Nasaf - Neftchi 04.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Nasaf
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Neftchi
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Nasaf - Neftchi 04.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Nasaf and Neftchi before the match 04.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Nasaf - Neftchi 04.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works