Matches / Super League / Nasaf — Neftchi · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Super League 04.09 · 17:00 · Finished
Nasaf
home
Nasaf
6 : 2
Neftchi
Neftchi
away
14.26 X3.25 22.02
2 picks on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.89.

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5 1 author
Match result: 2 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability 71.7% exp. goals 2.08 edge +17.6%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

18.04.26 1:2 Over 2.5 won
11.08.25 0:1 Under 2.5
29.03.25 0:0 Under 2.5
22.11.24 0:2 Under 2.5