Concepción - A. Italiano 05.09.2026 03:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Concepción or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Concepción
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
A. Italiano
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Concepción
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · A. Italiano
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Concepción or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Concepción
75%
A. Italiano
25%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.4
2.8
Avg. corners per match
7.82
8.89
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.55
4.44
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Concepción: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Concepción: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↑Concepción: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 4
↓Concepción: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
Brief Overview
Concepción will face A. Italiano 05.09.2026 as the home team. Unfortunately, there is no data yet on who will referee this match. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. It has already been 2 season the teams face each other. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 3.46 on an away win - A. Italiano.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.35
Average CLV
-4.69%
Agreement
50%
Which team has more corners: 2
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -22%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (1.45)
0
1
74% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.49)
0
0
0% from average (0.87)
Possession
154% from average (43.45)
67%
33%
63% from average (52)
Corners
254% from average (3.55)
9
2
44% from average (4.56)
Yellow cards
92% from average (2.18)
2
2
100% from average (2)
91% from average (4.4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
85% from average (10.55)
9
16
155% from average (10.33)
97% from average (25.8)
Shots on goal
146% from average (14.36)
21
11
83% from average (13.33)
Shots on target
132% from average (4.55)
6
4
103% from average (3.89)
Shots off target
198% from average (6.55)
13
3
53% from average (5.67)
Blocked shots
61% from average (3.27)
2
4
106% from average (3.78)
Shots from inside the box
221% from average (6.8)
15
4
55% from average (7.22)
Shots from outside the box
90% from average (6.7)
6
7
115% from average (6.11)
Passes
142% from average (337.2)
478
245
60% from average (405.67)
Successful passes
149% from average (254.2)
380
163
50% from average (322.89)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
200% from average (1)
2
3
150% from average (2)
Saves
94% from average (3.18)
3
6
216% from average (2.78)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
17’
César Pinares
0
:1
Substitution
45’
Marco Collao Ramos
Federico Mateos
Substitution
45’
Joaquín Montecinos
Fernando Martinez
Substitution
45’
Aldrix Jara
Nicolas Fuentes
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
56’
Fernando Romero
Jorge Henríquez
Substitution
64’
Mario Eduardo Sandoval
Paolo Guajardo
Yellow Card
68’
Mario Eduardo Sandoval
Substitution
69’
Carlos Escobar
Ethan Espinoza
Substitution
69’
Misael Dávila
Y. Rodríguez
Substitution
69’
Misael Dávila
Y. Rodríguez
Substitution
69’
Carlos Escobar
Ethan Espinoza
Red Card
74’
Fausto Grillo
Yellow Card
76’
Joaquín Montecinos
Yellow Card
77’
Franco Troyansky
Substitution
84’
Marcelo Ortíz
Franco Troyansky
Substitution
90’+3’
Damian Pizarro
Diego Coelho
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Aldrix Jara
Match Completed
0
:1
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Concepción
32
J. Larrivey
30
E. Espinoza
20
J. Henríquez
31
Nicolas Fuentes
16
M. Sandoval
8
F. Martínez
23
C. Riquelme
37
F. Grillo
21
N. Rodríguez
18
Y. Rodríguez
25
N. Araya
Formation · 4-4-2
A. Italiano
9
D. Coelho
11
F. Troyansky
21
G. Chiaverano
19
C. Pinares
28
F. Mateos
7
P. Guajardo
3
F. Salomoni
4
D. Piña
13
E. Ferrario
35
R. Rebolledo
1
T. Ahumada
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Concepción - A. Italiano 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
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We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
10
7
2nd half
11
4
Result
21
11
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Attack
Possession and style
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Concepción
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A. Italiano
Across all matches
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Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 goals
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1x2 corners
Fouls total
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Concepción and A. Italiano before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Concepción - A. Italiano 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works