Primera División
05.09 · 03:30
· Finished
Concepción
0 : 1
A. Italiano
12.24
X3.32
23.72
2
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.35.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.67
low
1
2.03
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
50%
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.7%
exp. goals
2.32
edge
-2.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.03.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
08.05.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
07.04.25
0:0
Under 2.5