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Flamengo — Botafogo
Serie A

Flamengo - Botafogo 30.08.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Flamengo Flamengo
W
D
W
W
L
Finished
3
0
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  'name' => 'Finished',
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  'started' => 1,
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  'finished_successful' => 1,
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1st half 1:0
2nd half 2:0
30.08.2026 22:00
Botafogo Botafogo
D
L
L
W
L
Serie A
Regular Season - 25 | 2026 | Brazil
xG 1.70 0.79
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Flamengo
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Flamengo
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Botafogo
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Flamengo
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Botafogo
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Flamengo
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Flamengo
68%
Botafogo
32%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.85 2.45
Avg. corners per match 8.77 11.06
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.23 5.44
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Flamengo - Botafogo, the match will take place 30.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 7 seasons the teams face each other. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Flamengo the odds are just 1.4.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.52
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -18.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Flamengo - Botafogo 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
154% from average (1.95)
3
0
0% from average (1.3)
Expected goals (xG)
101% from average (1.69)
1.7
0.79
41% from average (1.94)
Possession
105% from average (59.77)
63%
37%
73% from average (50.38)
Corners
100% from average (5)
5
3
52% from average (5.75)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.62)
0
2
67% from average (3)
34% from average (5.94)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
77% from average (10.38)
8
9
59% from average (15.31)
58% from average (29.35)
Shots on goal
104% from average (17.23)
18
14
75% from average (18.56)
Shots on target
95% from average (6.31)
6
4
60% from average (6.69)
Shots off target
90% from average (6.69)
6
5
69% from average (7.25)
Blocked shots
139% from average (4.31)
6
5
108% from average (4.63)
Shots from inside the box
102% from average (10.77)
11
9
86% from average (10.5)
Shots from outside the box
108% from average (6.46)
7
5
62% from average (8.06)
Passes
115% from average (565.38)
653
366
97% from average (375.44)
Successful passes
118% from average (499.54)
588
303
100% from average (303.69)
Pass accuracy
102% from average (87.92)
90%
83%
104% from average (79.69)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
265% from average (1.13)
3
3
233% from average (1.29)
Saves
186% from average (2.15)
4
3
86% from average (3.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
9’
Arthur Cabral
0
:
1
Goal
13’
Samuel Lino
1
:
1
Substitution
21’
L. Monzon
Alex Telles
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Substitution
46’
Danilo Pereira
A. Montoro
Substitution
57’
Lucas Paqueta
Luiz Araujo
Substitution
66’
C. Medina
Edenilson
Substitution
75’
J. Carrascal
G. de Arrascaeta
Substitution
77’
L. M. Villalba Jaume
Arthur Cabral
Substitution
77’
Junior Santos
Vitinho
Substitution
77’
Junior Santos
Vitinho
Substitution
77’
L. M. Villalba Jaume
Arthur Cabral
Yellow Card
83’
Marçal
Goal
86’
Samuel Lino
2
:
1
Substitution
87’
Everton
Pedro
Substitution
88’
Everton
Pedro
Goal
89’
J. Carrascal
3
:
1
Yellow Card
89’
Gabriel Justino
Goal
90’
J. Carrascal
4
:
1
Match Completed
3
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Flamengo
AS
Alex Sandro
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
ND
N. de la Cruz
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
V
Vitao
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
BH
Bruno Henrique
Yellow Cards
Definitely will not play
Botafogo
P
Paulinho
Injury
Definitely will not play
KP
Kaio Pantaleao
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
JB
J. Barrera
Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Flamengo
9 Pedro
16 Samuel Lino
10 G. de Arrascaeta
7 Luiz Araujo
21 Jorginho
5 E. Pulgar
6 Ayrton Lucas
4 Leo Pereira
3 Leo Ortiz
22 Emerson Royal
1 A. Rossi
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Botafogo
19 Arthur Cabral
10 A. Montoro
88 Edenilson
13 Alex Telles
8 Danilo Santos
75 Huguinho
2 Vitinho
21 Marcal
34 G. Justino
5 N. Ferraresi
12 Gabriel Batista

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
+2
3
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
2
+4
9
~
~
~
+1
#
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
21
~
1
~
+1
5
~
~
~
+3
34
~
1
~
+2
13
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+3
75
~
~
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+4
88
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
13
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
+4
11
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
1
+5
42
~
~
~
~
52
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
~
61
~
~
~
~
77
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
~
#
Player
25
~
~
~
~
90
~
~
~
+5
7
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
~
91
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
+1
59
~
~
~
~
37
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~
62
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Flamengo - Botafogo 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
4
2nd half 6
10
Result 18
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Flamengo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Botafogo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Flamengo - Botafogo 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Flamengo and Botafogo before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Flamengo - Botafogo 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works