Serie A
30.08 · 22:00
· Finished
Flamengo
3 : 0
Botafogo
11.44
X5.05
27.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.52.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 11.5
1.52
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
2.72
edge
-3.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.03.26
3:0
Over 2.5 won
15.02.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
16.10.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
19.05.25
0:0
Under 2.5