Toronto FC - New York City FC 30.08.2026 02:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Toronto FC
L
D
W
D
W
New York City FC
L
L
L
L
D
Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 22 | 2026 | USA
xG 0.73
0.36
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
New York City FC or draw
Most likely outcome — New York City FC (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Toronto FC
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
New York City FC
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Toronto FC
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · New York City FC
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or New York City FC
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Toronto FC
47%
New York City FC
53%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.25
3.1
Avg. corners per match
10.59
7.07
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.71
5
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Toronto FC: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Toronto FC: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↑Toronto FC: In 10 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 1
↓Toronto FC: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
Brief Overview
Toronto FC - New York City FC, match from 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Malik Badawi, USA. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 7 seasons the teams face each other.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.55
Average CLV
+3.24%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
69% from average (1.45)
1
1
61% from average (1.65)
Expected goals (xG)
72% from average (1.01)
0.73
0.36
25% from average (1.44)
Possession
90% from average (45.76)
41%
59%
113% from average (52.29)
Corners
157% from average (4.47)
7
2
68% from average (2.93)
Yellow cards
182% from average (1.65)
3
3
155% from average (1.93)
157% from average (3.81)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
88% from average (11.41)
10
13
118% from average (11)
105% from average (21.81)
Shots on goal
127% from average (11)
14
6
54% from average (11.07)
Shots on target
164% from average (3.65)
6
2
44% from average (4.5)
Shots off target
115% from average (4.35)
5
3
74% from average (4.07)
Blocked shots
98% from average (3.06)
3
1
40% from average (2.5)
Shots from inside the box
110% from average (7.24)
8
5
65% from average (7.64)
Shots from outside the box
160% from average (3.76)
6
1
29% from average (3.43)
Passes
92% from average (396.24)
363
552
118% from average (467)
Successful passes
96% from average (323.94)
311
491
124% from average (394.79)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (81.12)
86%
89%
106% from average (84.07)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
114% from average (1.75)
2
3
150% from average (2)
Saves
30% from average (3.29)
1
5
137% from average (3.64)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
18’
B. Kuscevic
Goal
29’
N. Mercau
0
:1
Yellow Card
40’
N. Mercau
Yellow Card
41’
N. Mercau
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Yellow Card
54’
A. Perea
Substitution
55’
D. Salloi
D. Etienne
Substitution
55’
Matheus Pereira
K. Franklin
Substitution
55’
D. Salloi
D. Etienne
Substitution
55’
Matheus Pereira
K. Franklin
Yellow Card
59’
D. Mihailovic
Substitution
63’
K. O'Toole
N. Cavallo
Substitution
63’
Raul Gustavo
B. Traore
Substitution
63’
Raul Gustavo
B. Traore
Substitution
63’
K. O'Toole
N. Cavallo
Yellow Card
64’
Matheus Pereira
Yellow Card
65’
Matheus Pereira
Goal
70’
D. Salloi
1
:1
Substitution
75’
M. Jones
Thiago Martins
Substitution
77’
J. Shore
K. Parks
Yellow Card
90’+1’
J. Shore
Match Completed
1
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Toronto FC
ND
Definitely will not play
N. Dorsch
Face Injury
JO
Definitely will not play
J. Osorio
Knee Injury
NP
Definitely will not play
N. Palacio
Lower-Body Injury
DK
Definitely will not play
D. Kerr
Lower-Body Injury
New York City FC
HW
Definitely will not play
H. Wolf
Leg Injury
AO
Definitely will not play
A. O'Neill
Ankle Injury
TM
In doubt
Thiago Martins
Leg Injury
MM
Definitely will not play
M. Moralez
Knee Injury
TM
Definitely will not play
Talles Magno
Muscle Injury
AM
Definitely will not play
A. Martinez
Knee Injury
KT
Definitely will not play
K. Trewin
Ankle Injury
DB
Definitely will not play
D. Baiera
Knee Injury
AF
Definitely will not play
A. Farnos
Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Toronto FC
9
J. Sargent
11
D. Etienne
10
D. Mihailovic
7
T. Corbeanu
14
A. Coello
71
M. Cimermancic
22
R. Laryea
13
B. Kuscevic
25
W. Zimmerman
19
K. Franklin
1
L. Gavran
Formation · 4-3-3
New York City FC
9
B. Traore
20
Luighi
26
A. Ojeda
8
A. Perea
7
N. Mercau
55
K. Parks
2
N. Cavallo
6
J. Sands
13
Thiago Martins
35
M. Ilenic
49
M. Freese
Starting lineups
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
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Statistics by half
1st half
6
1
2nd half
8
5
Result
14
6
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Toronto FC
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Toronto FC - New York City FC 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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1x2 goals
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1x2 corners
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Toronto FC and New York City FC before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Toronto FC - New York City FC 30.08.2026
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