Major League Soccer
30.08 · 02:30
· Finished
Toronto FC
1 : 1
New York City FC
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.55.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.55
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.7%
exp. goals
2.56
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.08.26
1:1
Under 2.5
04.07.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
26.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5
12.05.24
2:3
Over 2.5 won