Velez Sarsfield - Independiente 04.08.2026 01:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Review
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Velez Sarsfield or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Velez Sarsfield
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Independiente
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Velez Sarsfield
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Independiente
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Velez Sarsfield or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Velez Sarsfield
56%
Independiente
44%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.1
2.85
Avg. corners per match
8.81
9.8
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.69
4.8
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Velez Sarsfield: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Velez Sarsfield: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Velez Sarsfield: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Velez Sarsfield: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Velez Sarsfield - Independiente, the match will take place 04.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Leandro Rey Hilfer, Argentina. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
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Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
74% from average (1.35)
1
0
0% from average (1.65)
Possession
102% from average (53.19)
54%
46%
86% from average (53.47)
Corners
110% from average (3.63)
4
4
68% from average (5.87)
Yellow cards
137% from average (2.19)
3
2
79% from average (2.53)
119% from average (4.21)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
163% from average (10.44)
17
13
109% from average (11.93)
132% from average (22.68)
Shots on goal
104% from average (11.56)
12
11
84% from average (13.07)
Shots on target
97% from average (4.13)
4
1
24% from average (4.2)
Shots off target
74% from average (5.38)
4
8
164% from average (4.87)
Blocked shots
194% from average (2.06)
4
2
50% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
95% from average (7.38)
7
5
60% from average (8.4)
Shots from outside the box
119% from average (4.19)
5
6
128% from average (4.67)
Passes
103% from average (423.44)
438
374
105% from average (354.67)
Successful passes
103% from average (327.38)
337
281
105% from average (267.73)
Pass accuracy
101% from average (76.19)
77%
75%
101% from average (74.2)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
187% from average (1.07)
2
1
47% from average (2.13)
Saves
52% from average (3.81)
2
2
88% from average (2.27)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
27’
Santiago Arias
Leonardo Godoy
Yellow Card
42’
Dilan Godoy
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
46’
Emanuel Mammana
Lisandro Magallán
Substitution
46’
Facundo Valdéz
Matías Abaldo
Yellow Card
47’
G. Barros Schelotto
Yellow Card
48’
G. Barros Schelotto
Yellow Card
53’
Santiago Montiel
Substitution
57’
Simon Escobar
Manuel Lanzini
Goal
70’
Thiago Aguirre
1
:0
Yellow Card
72’
Matías Pellegrini
Substitution
76’
Maxi Meza
Mateo Perez Curci
Yellow Card
85’
Simon Escobar
Substitution
86’
Luca Feler
Matías Pellegrini
Substitution
88’
Claudio Baeza
Lucas Robertone
Match Completed
1
:0
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
37
J. Policella
~
~
~
~
№
Player
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Result
12
11
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Velez Sarsfield
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Velez Sarsfield - Independiente 04.08.2026
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Velez Sarsfield and Independiente before the match 04.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Velez Sarsfield - Independiente 04.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works