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Vasco DA Gama - Santos 16.08.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Position: 19 (-5)
W
D
W
D
D
Finished
0
3
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  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
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  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 22:00
Santos Santos
Position: 14 (+5)
D
D
W
L
W
Serie A
Regular Season - 23 | 2026 | Brazil
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Santos or draw
Most likely outcome — Santos (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Vasco DA Gama
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Santos
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Vasco DA Gama
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Santos
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Santos
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Vasco DA Gama
52%
Santos
48%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.2 2.7
Avg. corners per match 9.93 9.47
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.64 5.33
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Vasco DA Gama - Santos, match from 16.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is L. Casagrande. Serie A - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 3 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Vasco DA Gama, judging by the odds of 1.93.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Vasco DA Gama - Santos 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (1.1)
0
3
182% from average (1.65)
Possession
105% from average (54.53)
57%
43%
75% from average (57.6)
Corners
71% from average (5.6)
4
2
36% from average (5.53)
Yellow cards
78% from average (2.57)
2
0
0% from average (2.53)
49% from average (4.11)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
109% from average (12.8)
14
11
104% from average (10.53)
80% from average (31.11)
Shots on goal
113% from average (16.8)
19
11
69% from average (15.93)
Shots on target
51% from average (5.87)
3
5
99% from average (5.07)
Shots off target
178% from average (6.73)
12
5
84% from average (5.93)
Blocked shots
95% from average (4.2)
4
1
20% from average (4.93)
Shots from inside the box
156% from average (9.6)
15
6
57% from average (10.6)
Shots from outside the box
56% from average (7.2)
4
5
94% from average (5.33)
Passes
95% from average (430.4)
408
324
66% from average (489.6)
Successful passes
92% from average (365.07)
336
244
59% from average (417)
Pass accuracy
98% from average (83.8)
82%
75%
89% from average (84.4)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.67)
0
1
50% from average (2)
Saves
70% from average (2.87)
2
4
130% from average (3.07)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
14’
S. Sosa
Jair
Yellow Card
39’
Robert Renan
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
62’
Gustavo Henrique
C. Oliva
Substitution
62’
Rony
A. Barreal
Substitution
63’
B. Rollheiser
G. Caballero
Substitution
65’
M. Hinestroza
F. Colidio
Substitution
65’
David
C. Spinelli
Substitution
65’
David
C. Spinelli
Substitution
65’
M. Hinestroza
F. Colidio
Substitution
66’
J. Rodriguez
Lucas Piton
Goal
68’
Gabriel Barbosa
0
:
1
Substitution
69’
Thaciano
Gabriel Barbosa
Substitution
75’
N. Moreira
Tche Tche
Goal
77’
Willian Arao
0
:
2
Goal
81’
Luan Peres
0
:
3
Yellow Card
84’
Paulo Henrique
Substitution
89’
Joao Ananias
Joao Schmidt
Match Completed
0
:
3

Injuries and suspensions

Vasco DA Gama
B
Brenner
Injury
Definitely will not play
MC
Mateus Carvalho
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
C
Cuiabano
Yellow Cards
Definitely will not play
Santos
AF
A. Frias
Transfer negotiations
Definitely will not play
IV
Igor Vinicius
Back Injury
Definitely will not play
LV
Lucas Verissimo
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
M
Moises
Ankle Injury
In doubt
GB
Gabriel Bontempo
Injury
Definitely will not play
GH
Gustavo Henrique
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
VL
Vinicius Lira
Knee Injury
In doubt
PF
Pepe Fermino
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+3
46
~
~
~
+2
96
~
1
~
+2
30
~
1
~
+3
9
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+3
11
~
~
~
+2
77
~
~
~
+3
Player
77
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
1
+3
31
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
1
+2
10
~
~
~
+4
22
~
~
~
+2
28
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
1
+2

Substitutions

Player
13
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
~
43
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
88
~
~
~
~
82
~
~
~
~
83
~
~
~
~
Player
34
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
+1
42
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+1
81
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Vasco DA Gama - Santos 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
4
2nd half 7
7
Result 19
11
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Vasco DA Gama
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Santos
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Vasco DA Gama - Santos 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Vasco DA Gama and Santos before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Vasco DA Gama - Santos 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works