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Sao Paulo — Internacional
Serie A

Sao Paulo - Internacional 20.09.2026 03:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Position: 11 (+7)
W
W
L
L
D
Finished
1
0
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1st half 1:0
2nd half 0:0
20.09.2026 03:00
Internacional Internacional
Position: 18 (-7)
D
L
L
L
W
Serie A
Regular Season - 28 | 2026 | Brazil
Morumbi
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Sao Paulo or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Sao Paulo
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Internacional
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Sao Paulo
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Internacional
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Sao Paulo
67%
Internacional
33%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.3 2.85
Avg. corners per match 10.53 9.11
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.27 6
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Sao Paulo - Internacional, the match will take place 20.09.2026. The referee will be Bruno Arleu. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Sao Paulo the odds are just 1.96.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Sao Paulo - Internacional 20.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
95% from average (1.05)
1
0
0% from average (1.35)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.15)
0
0
0% from average (1.41)
Possession
81% from average (54.2)
44%
56%
126% from average (44.33)
Corners
51% from average (5.93)
3
3
63% from average (4.78)
Yellow cards
50% from average (2)
1
3
106% from average (2.82)
80% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
118% from average (12.73)
15
13
81% from average (16)
85% from average (33)
Shots on goal
43% from average (13.93)
6
13
91% from average (14.22)
Shots on target
26% from average (3.87)
1
1
28% from average (3.61)
Shots off target
35% from average (5.67)
2
8
130% from average (6.17)
Blocked shots
68% from average (4.4)
3
4
90% from average (4.44)
Shots from inside the box
34% from average (8.8)
3
5
61% from average (8.17)
Shots from outside the box
58% from average (5.13)
3
8
132% from average (6.06)
Passes
85% from average (471.53)
400
499
141% from average (354.33)
Successful passes
80% from average (396.67)
317
429
156% from average (275.06)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
93% from average (1.08)
1
5
250% from average (2)
Saves
44% from average (2.27)
1
0
0% from average (2.78)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Penalty
15’
Jonathan Calleri
1
:
0
Yellow Card
19’
Jonathan Calleri
Yellow Card
20’
Matheus Bahia
Yellow Card
34’
Bruno Henrique
Substitution
39’
Jose Monteiro
Domingos Duarte
Substitution
45’
Thiago Maia
Bruno Henrique
Substitution
45’
Allex Rodrigues Pereira da Silva
Matheus Bahia
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
0
Substitution
64’
Danielzinho
Luciano
Substitution
70’
Brian Aguirre
Vitinho
Substitution
73’
Aldemir Ferreira
Jonathan Calleri
Substitution
73’
Lucas Ramon
Pedro Lima
Substitution
73’
Andre Silva
Artur Victor Guimarães
Substitution
79’
Antonio Sanabria
Paulo Lucas Santos de Paula
Substitution
88’
Niclas Eliasson
Johan Carbonero
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Gabriel Mercado
Match Completed
1
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Sao Paulo
LM
Lucas Moura
Achilles Tendon Injury
Definitely will not play
DB
D. Bobadilla
Inactive
Definitely will not play
PM
Pablo Maia
Yellow Cards
Definitely will not play
LM
Lucca Marques
Jaw injury
Definitely will not play
LO
Luis Osorio
Red Card
Definitely will not play
Internacional
RV
R. Villagra
Yellow Cards
Definitely will not play
SR
S. Rochet
Lower Back Injury
Definitely will not play
C
Calebe
Inactive
Definitely will not play
VG
Victor Gabriel
Red Card
Definitely will not play
K
Kayky
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
BA
B. Arhin
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Sao Paulo
9 J. Calleri
37 Artur
10 Luciano
12 Iago
48 D. Ferreira
8 Marcos Antônio
32 Pedro Lima
2 R. Tolói
5 R. Arboleda
22 Domingos Duarte
23 Rafael
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Internacional
10 Alan Patrick
26 A. Bernabéi
7 J. Carbonero
6 Matheus Bahia
8 Bruno Henrique
27 Paulinho
28 Vitinho
25 G. Mercado
3 G. Maripán
15 Bruno Gomes
12 Anthoni

Starting lineups

#
Player
23
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+2
37
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+2
12
~
~
~
+1
32
~
~
~
+2
48
~
~
~
+2
9
~
1
1
+6
#
Player
12
~
~
~
~
25
~
1
~
+2
3
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+3
8
~
1
~
+2
28
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
+1
26
~
~
~
+3
6
~
1
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
18
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
+1
19
~
~
~
+1
80
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
31
~
~
~
~
94
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+1
49
~
~
~
~
46
~
~
~
~
43
~
~
~
~
#
Player
19
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
+2
31
~
~
~
+2
44
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Sao Paulo - Internacional 20.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
4
2nd half 3
9
Result 6
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Sao Paulo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Internacional
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Sao Paulo - Internacional 20.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
⌄
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Sao Paulo and Internacional before the match 20.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
⌄
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Sao Paulo - Internacional 20.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works