Qarabag - Şamaxı FK 17.08.2026 18:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Qarabag or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Qarabag
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Şamaxı FK
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Qarabag or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Qarabag
0%
Şamaxı FK
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.05
2.35
Avg. corners per match
7.5
0
Avg. yellow cards per match
3
0
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Qarabag: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Qarabag: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
↓Qarabag: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Qarabag: Judging by recent matches, Qarabag" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
17.08.2026 Qarabag plays away against Şamaxı FK. The referee appointed for this match is R. Hamzazade. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 2 last seasons. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 6.37 on an away win - Şamaxı FK.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
21’
F. Marques
Goal
28’
R. Cephas
1
:0
Goal
29’
R. Cephas
2
:0
Goal
43’
E. Adilkhanov
2
:1
Goal
44’
E. Adilkhanov
2
:2
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Ricardo Fernandes
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:2
Substitution
46’
U. Cahangirov
A. Bouali
Substitution
46’
H. Ismayilov
O. Mammadov
Substitution
46’
H. Ismayilov
O. Mammadov
Substitution
46’
U. Cahangirov
A. Bouali
Substitution
55’
M. Jankovic
J. Montiel
Substitution
55’
Pedro Bicalho
S. Lobato
Substitution
55’
Pedro Bicalho
S. Lobato
Substitution
55’
M. Jankovic
J. Montiel
Substitution
57’
T. Akhvlediani
A. Shuaibu
Substitution
58’
T. Akhvlediani
A. Shuaibu
Own goal
59’
R. Apolinario
3
:2
Substitution
60’
O. Kashchuk
J. Mouaddib
Substitution
64’
E. Suleymanov
F. Marques
Yellow Card
72’
R. F. Pereira Pacheco
Substitution
74’
B. Mustafazada
Matheus Silva
Substitution
74’
B. Huseynov
B. Varkonyi
Substitution
74’
B. Huseynov
B. Varkonyi
Substitution
74’
B. Mustafazada
Matheus Silva
Yellow Card
79’
A. Moumini
Substitution
82’
O. Tahmazli
E. Adilkhanov
Goal
84’
O. Kashchuk
4
:2
Goal
85’
O. Kashchuk
5
:2
Match Completed
3
:1
Starting lineups
№
Player
4
B. Varkonyi
~
~
~
~
№
Player
10
E. Adilkhanov
~
~
~
~
97
O. Mammadov
~
~
~
~
13
R. Apolinario
~
~
~
~
19
A. Shuaibu
~
~
~
~
3
Jota
~
~
~
~
5
E. Rustamov
~
~
~
~
4
R. F. Pereira Pacheco
~
~
~
~
25
F. Marques
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
№
Player
49
A. Bashirov
~
~
~
~
32
H. Cabrayilzada
~
~
~
~
№
Player
62
A. Seyiahmadov
~
~
~
~
96
N. Qarazoglu
~
~
~
~
80
H. Ismayilov
~
~
~
~
7
E. Suleymanov
~
~
~
~
2
F. Xeyrullayev
~
~
~
~
77
O. Tahmazli
~
~
~
~
88
H. Shiraliyev
~
~
~
~
66
C. Bagyrzada
~
~
~
~
9
T. Akhvlediani
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match Qarabag - Şamaxı FK 17.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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All available leagues
Number of events
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Qarabag
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Şamaxı FK
Across all matches
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Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Qarabag - Şamaxı FK 17.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
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Probability range
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Qarabag and Şamaxı FK before the match 17.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Qarabag - Şamaxı FK 17.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works