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Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 16.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Progreso Progreso
Position: 15 (-11)
L
L
W
L
L
Finished
0
2
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 17:00
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
Position: 4 (+11)
W
D
L
D
D
Primera División
Clausura - 2 | 2026 | Uruguay
Parque Abraham Paladino
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Deportivo Maldonado or draw
Most likely outcome — Deportivo Maldonado (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Progreso
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Deportivo Maldonado
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Progreso
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Deportivo Maldonado
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Deportivo Maldonado
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Progreso
28%
Deportivo Maldonado
72%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.35 2.4
Avg. corners per match 0 0
Avg. yellow cards per match 0 0
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado, match from 16.08.2026. The referee will be Mathias De Armas, Uruguay. Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado do not play each other in cups, only within leagues. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2024, 2026. Odds 1.97 on a win Deportivo Maldonado indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
2’
H. Menosse
Yellow Card
20’
R. Cristobal
Yellow Card
32’
M. Gonzalez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
C. Mayada
C. Bolzan
Substitution
50’
G. Trasante
M. Martin
Substitution
61’
N. Acosta
F. De Leon
Substitution
62’
M. Copelotti
F. De Leon
Substitution
62’
N. Acosta
A. Ocampo
Substitution
62’
N. Acosta
A. Ocampo
Substitution
62’
M. Copelotti
F. De Leon
Goal
68’
M. Gonzalez
0
:
1
Goal
69’
M. Gonzalez
0
:
2
Substitution
71’
L. Nunez
S. Cartagena
Substitution
71’
G. Larrazabal
S. Ramirez
Substitution
71’
G. Larrazabal
S. Ramirez
Substitution
71’
L. Nunez
S. Cartagena
Substitution
73’
L. Viana
M. Juambeltz
Substitution
73’
S. Bruschi
R. Cristobal
Substitution
73’
S. Bruschi
R. Cristobal
Substitution
73’
L. Viana
M. Juambeltz
Substitution
80’
J. M. Ginzo
H. Petryk
Substitution
81’
J. M. Ginzo
H. Petryk
Substitution
84’
A. Vila
R. Cesar
Goal
90’
C. Tabo
0
:
3
Match Completed
0
:
2

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
Player
25
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
17
Santiago Ramírez
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
12
~
~
~
~
3
Federico García
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
21
Santino Bruschi Díaz
~
~
~
~
19
Joaquin Solleiro
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
Player
1
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~
20
Sebastian Tormo
~
~
~
~
2
Nicolás Fuica
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
23
Adrián Vila
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Progreso
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Deportivo Maldonado
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Progreso - Deportivo Maldonado 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works