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Palermo - Lecce 17.08.2026 22:15: score, statistics, forecasts

Palermo Palermo
W
D
D
W
L
Finished
2
0
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  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
  'display_text' => 'Finished',
]
1st half :
2nd half :
17.08.2026 22:15
Lecce Lecce
W
L
D
W
W
Coppa Italia
Round of 64 | 2026 | Italy
Stadio Renzo Barbera
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
50% confidence
Main prediction
Palermo or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Palermo
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Lecce
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Palermo or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Palermo
0%
Lecce
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.7 2.45
Avg. corners per match 9.33 8.64
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.92 3.62
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Palermo - Lecce, the match will take place 17.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy. It's doubly interesting to watch this game, since the teams have never played each other before. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years. The most likely outcome is a win for Palermo, judging by the odds of 2.24.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Palermo - Lecce 17.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
125% from average (1.6)
2
0
0% from average (1.2)
Possession
90% from average (50)
45%
55%
141% from average (39.14)
Corners
38% from average (5.25)
2
8
238% from average (3.36)
Yellow cards
44% from average (2.25)
1
1
56% from average (1.77)
58% from average (3.44)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
78% from average (15.33)
12
9
75% from average (12.07)
90% from average (23.44)
Shots on goal
82% from average (14.58)
12
18
183% from average (9.86)
Shots on target
100% from average (5)
5
4
133% from average (3)
Shots off target
88% from average (5.67)
5
9
217% from average (4.14)
Blocked shots
51% from average (3.92)
2
5
185% from average (2.71)
Shots from inside the box
94% from average (9.58)
9
14
215% from average (6.5)
Shots from outside the box
60% from average (5)
3
4
119% from average (3.36)
Passes
99% from average (363.67)
360
413
141% from average (293.21)
Successful passes
101% from average (285.75)
290
348
163% from average (213.86)
Pass accuracy
104% from average (77.83)
81%
84%
116% from average (72.64)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
180% from average (1.67)
3
3
144% from average (2.08)
Saves
100% from average (3)
3
3
105% from average (2.86)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
5’
M. Fortin
J. Joronen
Goal
15’
D. Vavassori
1
:
0
Yellow Card
20’
Antonio Palumbo
Yellow Card
35’
Lassana Coulibaly
Goal
42’
J. Pohjanpalo
2
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
0
Substitution
46’
J. Le Douaron
J. Pohjanpalo
Substitution
46’
Hernani
A. Palumbo
Substitution
46’
Hernani
A. Palumbo
Substitution
46’
J. Le Douaron
J. Pohjanpalo
Substitution
46’
N. Stulic
Y. Maleh
Substitution
46’
N. Stulic
Y. Maleh
Substitution
46’
N. Stulic
Y. Maleh
Substitution
62’
G. Strefezza
D. Johnsen
Substitution
73’
H. Laerke
S. Pierotti
Substitution
74’
O. Gorter
O. Ngom
Substitution
74’
H. Laerke
S. Pierotti
Substitution
74’
O. Gorter
O. Ngom
Substitution
74’
H. Laerke
S. Pierotti
Substitution
77’
N. Estevez
F. Ranocchia
Substitution
83’
P. Esteban
W. Geubbels
Substitution
84’
P. Esteban
W. Geubbels
Substitution
88’
M. Kaba
L. Coulibaly
Match Completed
2
:
0

Starting lineups

Player
66
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
+3
32
~
~
~
+3
96
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
5
~
1
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+3
17
~
~
~
+5
9
~
~
1
+2
20
~
~
1
+2
Player
30
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
+3
4
~
~
~
+2
44
~
~
~
+3
25
~
~
~
+1
79
~
~
~
+2
50
~
~
~
+1
29
~
1
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+4
14
~
~
~
~
69
~
~
~
+2

Substitutions

Player
14
~
~
~
+1
12
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
84
~
~
~
~
93
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
+2
78
~
~
~
~
Player
33
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
77
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+1
12
~
~
~
~
34
~
~
~
+2
12
C. Lupo
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Palermo - Lecce 17.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
4
2nd half 3
14
Result 12
18
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Palermo
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Lecce
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Palermo - Lecce 17.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Palermo and Lecce before the match 17.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Palermo - Lecce 17.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works