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Orange County SC - Louisville City 16.08.2026 05:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Orange County SC Orange County SC
Position: 1 (+3)
D
L
W
W
L
Finished
2
3
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 05:00
Louisville City Louisville City
Position: 4 (-3)
W
W
L
D
W
USL Championship
Group Stage | 2026 | USA
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Louisville City or draw
Most likely outcome — Louisville City (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Orange County SC
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Louisville City
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Orange County SC
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Louisville City
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Louisville City
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Orange County SC
52%
Louisville City
48%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.95 3.1
Avg. corners per match 0 0
Avg. yellow cards per match 0 0
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Orange County SC will face Louisville City 16.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is T. Wiseman. USL Championship - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons. Judging by the odds of 3.59 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Orange County SC - Louisville City 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
6’
R. Serrano
0
:
1
Yellow Card
45’+1’
Z. Duncan
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Substitution
46’
T. Davila
Z. Duncan
Substitution
46’
T. Davila
Z. Duncan
Substitution
46’
M. Palomino
E. Solis
Substitution
46’
M. Palomino
E. Solis
Goal
48’
R. Serrano
0
:
2
Substitution
64’
C. Donovan
T. Showunmi
Substitution
64’
S. Totsch
J. Morris
Substitution
64’
S. Totsch
J. Morris
Substitution
64’
C. Donovan
T. Showunmi
Goal
68’
C. Donovan
0
:
3
Substitution
68’
E. Zubak
C. Hegardt
Goal
70’
O. Sylla
1
:
3
Substitution
70’
E. Zubak
C. Hegardt
Substitution
71’
J. Wilson
R. Serrano
Substitution
79’
E. Perez
S. Gleadle
Penalty
81’
Y. Bazini
2
:
3
Substitution
81’
N. Ciotta
S. Kelly
Substitution
81’
M. Bunbury
B. Cambridge
Substitution
83’
M. Bunbury
B. Cambridge
Substitution
83’
N. Ciotta
S. Kelly
Substitution
90’
J. Castro
R. Doghman
Match Completed
2
:
3

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
5
T. Brewitt
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
23
R. Doghman
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
25
E. Solis
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
12
Y. Bazini
~
~
~
~
Player
1
H. Fauroux
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
5
B. Dayes
~
~
~
~
13
A. Dia
~
~
~
~
23
S. Gleadle
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
27
E. Davila
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
21
Q. Huerman
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
7
R. Serrano
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
31
T. Kadono
~
~
~
~
15
T. Espy
~
~
~
~
32
N. Ciotta
~
~
~
~
28
F. O'Brien
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
20
M. Bunbury
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
30
J. Castro
~
~
~
~
Player
12
D. Faundez
~
~
~
~
4
S. Totsch
~
~
~
~
15
E. Perez
~
~
~
~
8
T. Davila
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
25
J. Wilson
~
~
~
~
47
M. Akale
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Orange County SC - Louisville City 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Orange County SC
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Louisville City
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Orange County SC - Louisville City 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Orange County SC and Louisville City before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Orange County SC - Louisville City 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works