Morocco - Gabon 25.09.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Group Stage - 1 | 2027 | World
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Morocco or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Morocco
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Gabon
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Morocco or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Morocco
0%
Gabon
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.65
2.95
Avg. corners per match
8.82
10.67
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.12
4
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Morocco: In 12 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Morocco: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↑Morocco: In 8 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 1
↓Morocco: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
Brief Overview
Morocco will face Gabon 25.09.2026 as the home team. The referee will be Abongile Tom. The teams play head-to-head matches exclusively in cups: Africa Cup of Nations, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2021, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Morocco the odds are just 1.11.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
98% from average (2.05)
2
0
0% from average (1.5)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.41)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
110% from average (57.94)
64%
36%
73% from average (49)
Corners
76% from average (5.29)
4
2
54% from average (3.67)
Yellow cards
71% from average (1.41)
1
2
117% from average (1.71)
300% from average (1)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
68% from average (13.18)
9
19
163% from average (11.67)
127% from average (22)
Shots on goal
127% from average (13.35)
17
9
73% from average (12.33)
Shots on target
83% from average (4.82)
4
4
80% from average (5)
Shots off target
187% from average (4.82)
9
5
94% from average (5.33)
Blocked shots
108% from average (3.71)
4
0
0% from average (2)
Shots from inside the box
115% from average (8.71)
10
4
55% from average (7.33)
Shots from outside the box
151% from average (4.65)
7
4
80% from average (5)
Passes
121% from average (537.06)
651
287
76% from average (377.67)
Successful passes
127% from average (469.53)
594
232
76% from average (304)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2)
0
4
597% from average (0.67)
Saves
200% from average (2)
4
1
50% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
36’
Noussair Mazraoui
1
:0
Yellow Card
41’
Anthony Oyono
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Substitution
62’
Soufiane Rahimi
Yassir Zabiri
Substitution
62’
Ilias Akhomach Chakkour
Gessime Yassine
Yellow Card
64’
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Substitution
68’
Henrick Do Marcolino
André Poko
Yellow Card
72’
Jonathan Do Marcolino
Substitution
76’
Bilal El Khannouss
Azzedine Ounahi
Substitution
76’
Abdellah Ouazane
Abde Ezzalzouli
Substitution
79’
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda
Jonathan Do Marcolino
Substitution
79’
André-Jordy Ella
Shavy Babicka
Goal
84’
Soufiane Rahimi
2
:0
Substitution
84’
Anass Salah-Eddine
Noussair Mazraoui
Match Completed
2
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Morocco
21
M. Zabiri
17
A. Ezzalzouli
8
A. Ounahi
16
Gessime Yassine
24
N. El Aynaoui
6
A. Bouaddi
3
N. Mazraoui
5
N. Aguerd
14
I. Diop
28
A. Maamar
1
Y. Bounou
Formation · 4-4-1
Gabon
12
G. Kanga
20
D. Bouanga
22
D. Ndong
17
A. Biyogo Poko
10
S. Babicka
19
J. Ekomié
6
U. Mboula
24
A. Do Marcolino
3
A. Oyono
1
J. Amonome
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Morocco - Gabon 25.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
9
3
2nd half
8
5
Result
17
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Morocco
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Gabon
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Morocco - Gabon 25.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Morocco and Gabon before the match 25.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Morocco - Gabon 25.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works