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Libertad - Universidad Catolica 11.08.2026 00:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Libertad Libertad
W
L
W
W
W
Finished
2
1
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  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
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  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
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1st half :
2nd half :
11.08.2026 00:30
Liga Pro
Regular Season - 24 | 2026 | Ecuador
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Universidad Catolica or draw
Most likely outcome — Universidad Catolica (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Libertad
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Universidad Catolica
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Libertad
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Universidad Catolica
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Universidad Catolica and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Libertad
48%
Universidad Catolica
52%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.15 2.75
Avg. corners per match 9.62 8.85
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.08 4.33
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Universidad Catolica will play away against Libertad 11.08.2026. The referee will be Oswaldo Contreras, Ecuador. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 4 last seasons.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Libertad - Universidad Catolica 11.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
200% from average (1)
2
1
57% from average (1.75)
Possession
80% from average (42.64)
34%
66%
117% from average (56.38)
Corners
145% from average (3.46)
5
5
103% from average (4.85)
Yellow cards
87% from average (2.31)
2
3
164% from average (1.83)
117% from average (4.26)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
92% from average (12)
11
6
55% from average (10.92)
79% from average (21.42)
Shots on goal
191% from average (9.93)
19
16
111% from average (14.38)
Shots on target
187% from average (3.21)
6
6
130% from average (4.62)
Shots off target
183% from average (4.36)
8
8
125% from average (6.38)
Blocked shots
212% from average (2.36)
5
2
59% from average (3.38)
Shots from inside the box
145% from average (5.5)
8
9
111% from average (8.08)
Shots from outside the box
248% from average (4.43)
11
7
111% from average (6.31)
Passes
93% from average (304.07)
282
572
132% from average (433.23)
Successful passes
90% from average (238.29)
215
511
140% from average (364.85)
Pass accuracy
98% from average (77.64)
76%
89%
107% from average (83.31)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
93% from average (1.07)
1
4
471% from average (0.85)
Saves
119% from average (4.21)
5
4
157% from average (2.54)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
15’
Luis Cangá
Goal
32’
A. Chere
1
:
0
Goal
40’
V. Branda
2
:
0
Yellow Card
41’
Facundo Martinez
Yellow Card
45’+5’
Mauro Díaz
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
0
Substitution
46’
A. Londono
M. Alonso
Yellow Card
57’
Xavier Pineda
Substitution
61’
C. Orejuela
D. Coronel
Goal
67’
E. Caicedo
3
:
0
Substitution
67’
E. Caicedo
A. Chere
Substitution
70’
L. Moreno
J. Mina
Substitution
75’
G. J. Cortez Casierra
V. Branda
Yellow Card
76’
Rodrigo Morinigo
Goal
85’
S. Yanez
3
:
1
Red Card
90’
Johan Estacio
Substitution
90’+7’
B. Palacios
D. Nazareno
Match Completed
2
:
1

Starting lineups

Player
12
~
~
~
+1
19
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
+1
2
~
1
~
+1
17
~
~
~
+1
80
~
1
~
+3
20
~
~
~
+4
63
~
~
~
+4
70
~
~
1
+2
49
~
~
~
+4
33
~
~
~
+4
80
X. E. Pineda Arana
~
~
~
~
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+2
33
~
1
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
+2
32
~
~
~
+3
5
~
~
~
~
10
~
1
~
~
28
~
1
~
+4
30
~
~
~
+4
7
~
~
~
+3
24
D. Nazareno
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
7
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
52
~
~
~
~
52
A. Bao
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
66
1
~
~
+1
9
~
~
1
+3
Player
1
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
1
+3
9
~
~
~
+3
37
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 14
4
2nd half 5
12
Result 19
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Libertad
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Universidad Catolica
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Libertad - Universidad Catolica 11.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Libertad and Universidad Catolica before the match 11.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Libertad - Universidad Catolica 11.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works