Lanus - Independiente 17.08.2026 23:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Review
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Independiente or draw
Most likely outcome — Independiente (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Lanus
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Independiente
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Lanus
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Independiente
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : draw or Independiente and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Lanus
61%
Independiente
39%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
1.7
2.85
Avg. corners per match
8.5
9.71
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.63
4.79
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Lanus: In 11 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Lanus: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↑Lanus: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 3
↓Lanus: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
Brief Overview
Lanus will face Independiente 17.08.2026 as the home team. The referee will be Sebastian Nicolas Martinez, Argentina. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 3.97 on an away win - Independiente.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
143% from average (0.7)
1
3
200% from average (1.5)
Possession
98% from average (53)
52%
48%
87% from average (55.07)
Corners
208% from average (4.81)
10
5
79% from average (6.36)
Yellow cards
84% from average (2.38)
2
3
120% from average (2.5)
85% from average (5.88)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
173% from average (10.38)
18
11
92% from average (11.93)
116% from average (24.94)
Shots on goal
152% from average (13.81)
21
14
101% from average (13.86)
Shots on target
148% from average (4.06)
6
4
93% from average (4.29)
Shots off target
192% from average (6.25)
12
6
108% from average (5.57)
Blocked shots
86% from average (3.5)
3
4
100% from average (4)
Shots from inside the box
168% from average (8.31)
14
10
110% from average (9.07)
Shots from outside the box
127% from average (5.5)
7
4
84% from average (4.79)
Passes
89% from average (447.19)
397
379
99% from average (381.64)
Successful passes
86% from average (359.13)
309
288
98% from average (292.64)
Pass accuracy
98% from average (79.5)
78%
76%
101% from average (75.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
50% from average (2)
1
1
54% from average (1.86)
Saves
37% from average (2.69)
1
5
250% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
37’
L. Millan
0
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Goal
47’
L. Millan
0
:2
Goal
50’
A. Wlk
1
:2
Substitution
61’
D. Martinez
M. Perez Curci
Substitution
61’
M. Meza
L. Millan
Substitution
64’
M. Sepulveda
E. Salvio
Substitution
64’
Y. Valois
A. Wlk
Yellow Card
69’
Ramiro Carrera
Substitution
77’
L. Besozzi
F. Pena Biafore
Substitution
77’
M. Abaldo
S. Montiel
Substitution
77’
M. Gutierrez
J. Palais
Substitution
85’
N. Morgantini
T. Guidara
Substitution
85’
B. Acosta
D. Aquino
Yellow Card
87’
I. Marcone
Yellow Card
87’
G. Avalos
Yellow Card
87’
Gabriel Ávalos
Yellow Card
87’
Iván Marcone
Yellow Card
89’
Benjamin Acosta
Goal
90’
M. Gutierrez
1
:3
Substitution
90’+1’
F. Cruz
G. Avalos
Goal
90’+4’
M. Gutierrez
1
:4
Yellow Card
90’+5’
R. Rey
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Rodrigo Rey
Red Card
90’+6’
R. Carrera
Yellow Card
90’+6’
R. Carrera
Red Card
90’+6’
R. Carrera
Match Completed
1
:3
Starting lineups
№
Player
№
Player
Substitutions
№
Player
№
Player
These are the odds for the match Lanus - Independiente 17.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
11
7
2nd half
10
7
Result
21
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Lanus
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Independiente
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Lanus - Independiente 17.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Lanus and Independiente before the match 17.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Lanus - Independiente 17.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works