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Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd 14.08.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
W
W
L
L
L
Finished
3
2
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1st half :
2nd half :
14.08.2026 21:45
Ayr Utd Ayr Utd
W
W
D
W
D
League Cup
Round of 16 | 2026 | Scotland
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Kilmarnock or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Kilmarnock
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Ayr Utd
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Kilmarnock
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Ayr Utd
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Kilmarnock or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Kilmarnock
100%
Ayr Utd
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.3 2.45
Avg. corners per match 9.4 10
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.13 1
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd, the match will take place 14.08.2026. The referee will be M. MacDermid. A head-to-head meeting between these clubs is a fairly rare occurrence, having happened only in one championship: Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Kilmarnock the odds are just 1.65.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd 14.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
5’
O. Stirton
0
:
1
Goal
5’
O. Stirton
0
:
2
Yellow Card
32’
Aaron Tshibola
Yellow Card
33’
A. Tshibola
Yellow Card
38’
O. Stirton
Yellow Card
38’
Owen Stirton
Substitution
39’
N. Clescenco
J. Brandon
Substitution
39’
N. Clescenco
J. Brandon
Goal
43’
J. Hugill
1
:
2
Goal
43’
J. Hugill
2
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
2
Goal
48’
R. Taylor
2
:
3
Goal
48’
R. Taylor
2
:
4
Substitution
69’
M. O'Hara
A. Tshibola
Substitution
69’
M. O'Hara
A. Tshibola
Substitution
73’
I. Owen
T. John-Jules
Substitution
73’
I. Owen
T. John-Jules
Substitution
73’
N. McAllister
L. King
Substitution
73’
N. McAllister
L. King
Goal
79’
M. Schjonning-Larsen
3
:
4
Goal
79’
M. Schjonning-Larsen
4
:
4
Substitution
82’
K. Mitchell
S. McMann
Substitution
82’
K. Mitchell
S. McMann
Goal
89’
N. Clescenco
5
:
4
Goal
89’
N. Clescenco
6
:
4
Substitution
90’
J. Douglas
D. Watret
Substitution
90’
J. Murphy
R. Lyon
Substitution
90’
J. Douglas
D. Watret
Yellow Card
90’+3’
M. Schjonning-Larsen
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
Match Completed
3
:
2

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
36
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
Player
1
Harry Stone
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
32
D. Watret
~
~
~
~
20
L. McBeth
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
11
R. Taylor
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
1
H. Stone
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
5
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
5
M. O'Hara
~
~
~
~
32
R. Ellis
~
~
~
~
42
~
~
~
~
Player
15
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
2
N. McAllister
~
~
~
~
38
L. Russell
~
~
~
~
26
M. Warbrick
~
~
~
~
25
K. Mitchell
~
~
~
~
34
J. Douglas
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd 14.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
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Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Kilmarnock
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Ayr Utd
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd 14.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Kilmarnock and Ayr Utd before the match 14.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Kilmarnock - Ayr Utd 14.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works