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Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli 14.08.2026 19:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
D
L
L
D
D
Finished
2
2
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  'id' => 'FT',
  'name' => 'Finished',
  'display_name' => 'Finished',
  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
  'finished_successful' => 1,
  'background' => 'rgb(139 142 149)',
  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
  'display_text' => 'Finished',
]
1st half :
2nd half :
14.08.2026 19:30
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
W
W
L
D
D
2. Bundesliga
Regular Season - 2 | 2026 | Germany
Holstein-Stadion
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
FC St. Pauli or draw
Most likely outcome — FC St. Pauli (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Holstein Kiel
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
FC St. Pauli
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Holstein Kiel
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · FC St. Pauli
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or FC St. Pauli
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Holstein Kiel
0%
FC St. Pauli
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.05 3.15
Avg. corners per match 9.42 9.77
Avg. yellow cards per match 6.08 2.85
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli, match from 14.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Max Burda, Germany. Before that, we could see these clubs clash in the following leagues: Bundesliga, 2. Bundesliga. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024. The most likely outcome is a win for Holstein Kiel, judging by the odds of 2.43.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli 14.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
143% from average (1.4)
2
2
133% from average (1.5)
Possession
119% from average (53.83)
64%
36%
83% from average (43.54)
Corners
87% from average (5.75)
5
5
108% from average (4.62)
Yellow cards
95% from average (3.17)
3
3
185% from average (1.62)
88% from average (6.83)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
91% from average (15.33)
14
19
235% from average (8.08)
124% from average (26.67)
Shots on goal
164% from average (11.58)
19
13
120% from average (10.85)
Shots on target
171% from average (3.5)
6
6
173% from average (3.46)
Shots off target
138% from average (5.08)
7
4
98% from average (4.08)
Blocked shots
200% from average (3)
6
3
91% from average (3.31)
Shots from inside the box
205% from average (7.33)
15
10
153% from average (6.54)
Shots from outside the box
94% from average (4.25)
4
3
70% from average (4.31)
Passes
131% from average (417.33)
548
295
72% from average (411.15)
Successful passes
138% from average (341.17)
470
199
62% from average (318.54)
Pass accuracy
107% from average (80.75)
86%
67%
88% from average (76.31)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
67% from average (1.5)
1
2
87% from average (2.31)
Saves
142% from average (2.82)
4
4
104% from average (3.85)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
32’
M. Kaars
0
:
1
Goal
32’
M. Kaars
0
:
2
Goal
45’
T. Hara
0
:
3
Yellow Card
45’+2’
M. Rasmussen
Yellow Card
45’+2’
Mathias Rasmussen
Goal
45’+4’
T. Hara
0
:
4
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
4
Yellow Card
47’
T. Weiner
Yellow Card
47’
Timon Weiner
Yellow Card
47’
Guillermo Balzi
Yellow Card
49’
J. Fujita
Yellow Card
49’
Joel Chima Fujita
Goal
56’
P. Harres
1
:
4
Goal
56’
P. Harres
2
:
4
Substitution
64’
R. Jones
T. Hara
Substitution
64’
E. Smith
J. Fujita
Substitution
64’
R. Jones
T. Hara
Yellow Card
72’
K. Davidsen
Yellow Card
72’
Kasper Davidsen
Yellow Card
73’
R. Jones
Yellow Card
73’
Ricky-Jade Jones
Substitution
74’
J. Therkelsen
G. Balzi
Substitution
74’
J. Therkelsen
G. Balzi
Substitution
80’
S. Banks
B. Hrgota
Substitution
80’
S. Banks
B. Hrgota
Substitution
85’
S. Klein
M. Kaars
Substitution
85’
S. Klein
M. Kaars
Substitution
86’
F. Alidou
L. Parduzi
Substitution
86’
F. Alidou
L. Parduzi
Goal
88’
J. Therkelsen
3
:
4
Goal
88’
J. Therkelsen
4
:
4
Match Completed
2
:
2

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
1
~
+2
32
~
~
~
+2
13
~
~
~
+3
26
~
~
~
+4
40
~
~
~
+3
28
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+4
8
~
1
~
+4
15
~
1
~
+4
11
~
~
~
+5
19
~
~
1
+4
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+3
6
~
~
~
~
15
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+2
20
~
1
~
+2
16
~
1
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+4
10
~
~
~
+3
19
~
~
1
+4
18
~
~
1
+3

Substitutions

Player
41
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
1
+2
27
~
~
~
~
47
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
Player
33
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
~
25
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+2
26
~
1
~
+2

These are the odds for the match Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli 14.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 14
5
2nd half 5
8
Result 19
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Holstein Kiel
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
FC St. Pauli
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli 14.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli before the match 14.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Holstein Kiel - FC St. Pauli 14.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works