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Genoa - Ascoli 16.08.2026 19:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Genoa Genoa
W
D
W
L
L
Finished
4
1
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1st half :
2nd half :
16.08.2026 19:30
Ascoli Ascoli
W
D
L
L
W
Coppa Italia
Round of 64 | 2026 | Italy
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
50% confidence
Main prediction
Genoa or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Genoa
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Ascoli
0%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Ascoli
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Genoa or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Genoa
0%
Ascoli
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.55 2.35
Avg. corners per match 8.42 0
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.67 0
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Genoa will face Ascoli 16.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is Mario Perri, Italy. It is hard to predict the match because there is no recent head-to-head data. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Genoa the odds are just 1.43.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Genoa - Ascoli 16.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
400% from average (1)
4
1
59% from average (1.7)
Possession
75% from average (52.08)
39%
61%
- from average (0)
Corners
196% from average (4.08)
8
2
- from average (0)
Yellow cards
109% from average (0.92)
1
1
- from average (0)
34% from average (5.88)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
105% from average (9.5)
10
9
- from average (0)
65% from average (29.44)
Shots on goal
206% from average (11.67)
24
9
- from average (0)
Shots on target
342% from average (2.92)
10
2
- from average (0)
Shots off target
169% from average (5.33)
9
1
- from average (0)
Blocked shots
146% from average (3.42)
5
6
- from average (0)
Shots from inside the box
212% from average (7.08)
15
6
- from average (0)
Shots from outside the box
197% from average (4.58)
9
3
- from average (0)
Passes
79% from average (429)
339
553
- from average (0)
Successful passes
79% from average (353.75)
278
482
- from average (0)
Pass accuracy
101% from average (81.08)
82%
87%
- from average (0)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
183% from average (1.09)
2
1
- from average (0)
Saves
33% from average (3)
1
5
- from average (0)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
25’
A. Silipo
0
:
1
Goal
42’
A. Marcandalli
1
:
1
Goal
45’
T. Baldanzi
2
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
1
Substitution
46’
D. Sow
M. Mitaj
Substitution
46’
L. Ostigard
S. Otoa
Substitution
46’
L. Ostigard
S. Otoa
Substitution
46’
D. Sow
M. Mitaj
Yellow Card
49’
Leo Østigård
Yellow Card
50’
L. Ostigard
Substitution
57’
G. Acampora
G. Corradini
Substitution
57’
M. A. Chakir
G. Gori
Substitution
57’
M. A. Chakir
G. Gori
Substitution
57’
G. Acampora
G. Corradini
Goal
61’
L. Colombo
3
:
1
Substitution
66’
E. Havel
L. Colombo
Substitution
75’
A. Russo
S. Damiani
Substitution
75’
A. Oliveri
T. Milanese
Substitution
75’
A. Oliveri
T. Milanese
Substitution
75’
A. Russo
S. Damiani
Substitution
77’
D. Puczka
M. E. Ellertsson
Substitution
78’
D. Puczka
M. E. Ellertsson
Substitution
78’
S. Wiafe
T. Baldanzi
Substitution
78’
S. Wiafe
T. Baldanzi
Substitution
78’
D. Puczka
M. E. Ellertsson
Goal
80’
E. Havel
4
:
1
Substitution
80’
D. Bolsius
S. D'Uffizi
Yellow Card
85’
Marcos Curado
Match Completed
4
:
1

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
1
+2
34
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+3
32
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
1
+4
77
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+3
29
~
~
1
+4
9
~
~
~
+5
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
62
~
~
~
+1
30
~
1
~
+2
33
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
1
+3
11
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+3
35
~
~
~
+1

Substitutions

Player
39
~
~
~
~
99
~
~
~
~
74
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
5
~
1
~
+1
97
~
~
~
+1
71
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
80
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
1
+4
10
~
~
~
~
80
A. Zulevic
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
74
M. Doucoure
~
~
~
~
Player
45
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+2
77
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
~
12
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Genoa - Ascoli 16.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 14
2
2nd half 10
7
Result 24
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Genoa
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Ascoli
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Genoa - Ascoli 16.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Genoa and Ascoli before the match 16.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Genoa - Ascoli 16.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works