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Fluminense - Palmeiras 15.08.2026 22:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Fluminense Fluminense
D
D
L
D
D
Finished
3
2
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  'name' => 'Finished',
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  'started' => 1,
  'inplay' => 0,
  'timer_running' => 0,
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1st half :
2nd half :
15.08.2026 22:30
Palmeiras Palmeiras
W
W
L
D
D
Serie A
Regular Season - 23 | 2026 | Brazil
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Palmeiras or draw
Most likely outcome — Palmeiras (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Fluminense
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Palmeiras
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Fluminense
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Palmeiras
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Palmeiras
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Fluminense
32%
Palmeiras
68%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.4 2.55
Avg. corners per match 8.6 10.78
Avg. yellow cards per match 5.5 4.17
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
15.08.2026 Fluminense plays away against Palmeiras. The referee will be Anderson Daronco, Brazil. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026. According to bookmakers, the win will go to Palmeiras - the odds for it are just 2.55.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Fluminense - Palmeiras 15.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
222% from average (1.35)
3
2
108% from average (1.85)
Possession
98% from average (61.53)
60%
40%
69% from average (57.56)
Corners
106% from average (4.73)
5
5
85% from average (5.89)
Yellow cards
140% from average (2.86)
4
3
186% from average (1.61)
126% from average (5.55)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
139% from average (11.47)
16
17
141% from average (12.06)
119% from average (27.7)
Shots on goal
116% from average (14.67)
17
15
89% from average (16.78)
Shots on target
125% from average (4.8)
6
7
140% from average (5)
Shots off target
118% from average (6.8)
8
5
70% from average (7.11)
Blocked shots
96% from average (3.13)
3
3
64% from average (4.67)
Shots from inside the box
142% from average (9.13)
13
9
88% from average (10.28)
Shots from outside the box
72% from average (5.53)
4
6
92% from average (6.5)
Passes
88% from average (552.47)
486
318
66% from average (481.72)
Successful passes
88% from average (488.8)
430
260
63% from average (414.61)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (88.33)
88%
82%
96% from average (85.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.5)
0
1
50% from average (2)
Saves
156% from average (3.2)
5
3
123% from average (2.44)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
10’
G. Gomez
0
:
1
Goal
10’
G. Gomez
0
:
2
Yellow Card
34’
Joaquín Piquerez
Yellow Card
35’
J. Piquerez
Goal
42’
Hulk
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Substitution
46’
R. Sosa
Vitor Roque
Substitution
46’
Arthur Gabriel
J. Piquerez
Substitution
46’
Arthur Gabriel
J. Piquerez
Substitution
46’
R. Sosa
Vitor Roque
Substitution
54’
J. Millan
Igor Rabello
Yellow Card
61’
Guga
Yellow Card
63’
A. Canobbio
Yellow Card
63’
Agustín Canobbio
Substitution
69’
G. Cano
Hulk
Substitution
69’
L. Acosta
PH Ganso
Substitution
69’
L. Acosta
PH Ganso
Substitution
69’
G. Cano
Hulk
Substitution
70’
G. Cano
Hulk
Substitution
70’
L. Acosta
PH Ganso
Yellow Card
73’
Arthur Gabriel
Substitution
73’
E. Martinez
J. Arias
Substitution
73’
Mauricio
Andreas Pereira
Substitution
73’
Mauricio
Andreas Pereira
Substitution
73’
E. Martinez
J. Arias
Yellow Card
78’
Luciano Acosta
Yellow Card
79’
L. Acosta
Substitution
79’
Nonato
Hercules
Substitution
79’
K. Serna
Y. Soteldo
Substitution
80’
Felipe Anderson
R. Sosa
Substitution
80’
Felipe Anderson
Goal
82’
Mauricio
1
:
3
Goal
85’
K. Serna
2
:
3
Yellow Card
86’
Martinelli
Goal
90’
G. Cano
3
:
3
Goal
90’+2’
Martinelli
4
:
3
Goal
90’+2’
G. Cano
5
:
3
Yellow Card
90’+5’
G. Gomez
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Gustavo Gómez
Match Completed
3
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Fluminense
GA
Guilherme Arana
Injury
In doubt
JF
J. Freytes
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
I
Ignacio
Yellow Cards
Definitely will not play
JM
J. Millan
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
JK
John Kennedy
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
J
Jhonny
Injury
In doubt
MR
Matheus Reis
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
Palmeiras
P
Paulinho
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
K
Khellven
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
BF
Bruno Fuchs
Surgery
Definitely will not play
J
Jefte
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+1
21
~
~
~
~
23
~
1
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+2
44
~
~
~
+2
30
~
~
~
+3
10
~
~
~
+2
17
~
1
~
+5
35
~
~
~
+3
8
~
1
~
+4
7
~
~
1
+3
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
15
~
1
1
+4
26
~
~
~
+3
22
~
1
~
+2
4
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+3
40
~
~
~
+4
42
~
~
~
+4
9
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

Player
3
~
~
~
~
94
~
~
~
~
98
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
1
+3
29
~
~
~
~
32
~
1
~
+1
11
~
~
~
~
90
~
~
1
+2
19
~
~
~
~
46
~
~
~
~
Player
7
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
1
+3
32
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
~
43
~
~
~
~
56
~
1
~
+1
50
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Fluminense - Palmeiras 15.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
8
2nd half 8
7
Result 17
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Fluminense
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Palmeiras
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Fluminense - Palmeiras 15.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Fluminense and Palmeiras before the match 15.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Fluminense - Palmeiras 15.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works