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Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Orenburg Orenburg
W
W
L
L
D
Finished
1
1
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1st half :
2nd half :
14.08.2026 17:00
Premier League
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Russia
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow or draw
Most likely outcome — Lokomotiv Moscow (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Orenburg
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Lokomotiv Moscow
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Orenburg
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Lokomotiv Moscow
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Lokomotiv
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Orenburg
57%
Lokomotiv Moscow
43%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.6 2.4
Avg. corners per match 10.08 8.5
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.07 5.13
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Orenburg will face Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026 as the home team. This match will be officiated by Anton Frolov, Russia. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. It has already been 4 season the teams face each other. Judging by the odds of 2.87 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
95% from average (1.05)
1
1
65% from average (1.55)
Possession
120% from average (43.25)
52%
48%
93% from average (51.38)
Corners
118% from average (5.08)
6
2
42% from average (4.75)
Yellow cards
85% from average (2.36)
2
1
32% from average (3.13)
86% from average (3.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
80% from average (14.92)
12
18
122% from average (14.75)
105% from average (28.5)
Shots on goal
200% from average (13)
26
11
68% from average (16.13)
Shots on target
218% from average (3.67)
8
2
44% from average (4.5)
Shots off target
133% from average (6)
8
7
110% from average (6.38)
Blocked shots
300% from average (3.33)
10
2
38% from average (5.25)
Shots from inside the box
261% from average (8.42)
22
5
45% from average (11)
Shots from outside the box
87% from average (4.58)
4
6
117% from average (5.13)
Passes
112% from average (300.92)
337
315
76% from average (415.75)
Successful passes
104% from average (210.92)
219
202
61% from average (333.13)
Pass accuracy
93% from average (70.08)
65%
64%
81% from average (79.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
80% from average (1.25)
1
2
123% from average (1.63)
Saves
32% from average (3.08)
1
6
171% from average (3.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
3’
A. Batrakov
0
:
1
Goal
3’
A. Batrakov
0
:
2
Yellow Card
29’
E. Bolotov
Yellow Card
29’
Evgeniy Bolotov
Yellow Card
41’
R. Kul
Yellow Card
41’
Ruslan Kul
Goal
45’+2’
D. Puebla
1
:
2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
2
Substitution
61’
Alexandre Jesus
G. Guzina
Substitution
61’
Alexandre Jesus
G. Guzina
Substitution
61’
A. Kasadzhikov
D. Rybchinskiy
Goal
63’
A. Kasadzhikov
2
:
2
Goal
63’
A. Kasadzhikov
3
:
2
Yellow Card
66’
I. Lantratov
Yellow Card
66’
Ilya Lantratov
69’
69’
Substitution
72’
R. Myalkovskiy
Z. Bakaev
Substitution
72’
S. Pinyaev
A. Rudenko
Substitution
72’
R. Myalkovskiy
Z. Bakaev
Substitution
78’
R. Golybin
R. Kul
Substitution
78’
R. Golybin
R. Kul
Substitution
79’
N. Saltykov
V. Rakov
Substitution
79’
N. Saltykov
V. Rakov
Substitution
86’
B. Bosch
D. Puebla
Substitution
86’
D. Vedernikov
E. Tsenov
Substitution
86’
B. Bosch
D. Puebla
Substitution
90’+3’
Lucas Fasson
I. Eremeev
Substitution
90’+3’
Lucas Fasson
I. Eremeev
Substitution
90’+3’
A. Kovalenko
M. Nenakhov
Match Completed
1
:
1

Injuries and suspensions

Orenburg
No injured or suspended players
Lokomotiv Moscow
CM
C. Montes
Inactive
In doubt
AM
A. Mitryushkin
Injury
Definitely will not play
NK
N. Komlichenko
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
AK
A. Karpukas
Inactive
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+3
26
~
~
~
+4
78
~
1
~
+3
57
~
1
~
+4
8
~
~
~
+5
11
~
~
~
+2
20
~
~
~
+1
30
~
~
~
+3
Player
22
~
1
~
+3
24
~
~
~
+3
5
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+1
45
~
~
~
+4
85
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
1
+4
75
~
~
~
+1
19
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+4

Substitutions

Player
77
~
~
1
+3
19
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
+3
3
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
95
~
~
~
~
59
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
65
~
~
~
~
63
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~
Player
9
~
~
~
+1
99
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
59
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
88
~
~
~
~
47
~
~
~
~
74
~
~
~
~
63
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 12
4
2nd half 14
7
Result 26
11
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Orenburg
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Lokomotiv Moscow
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Orenburg and Lokomotiv Moscow before the match 14.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow 14.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works