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Fagiano Okayama - V-varen Nagasaki 15.08.2026 12:55: score, statistics, forecasts

Finished
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1st half :
2nd half :
15.08.2026 12:55
J1 League
Regular Season - 2 | 2027 | Japan
City Light Stadium
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
V-varen Nagasaki or draw
Most likely outcome — V-varen Nagasaki (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Fagiano Okayama
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
V-varen Nagasaki
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Fagiano Okayama
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · V-varen Nagasaki
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or V-varen Nagasaki
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Fagiano Okayama
0%
V-varen Nagasaki
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.75 2.75
Avg. corners per match 9.77 9.81
Avg. yellow cards per match 2.33 2.08
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
15.08.2026 Fagiano Okayama plays away against V-varen Nagasaki. The referee will be Masuya Ueda, Japan. The clubs do not meet within cups, but their matches can often be seen within leagues: J1 League, J2 League. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 2 last seasons. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 5.18 on an away win - V-varen Nagasaki.

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Fagiano Okayama - V-varen Nagasaki 15.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
77% from average (1.3)
1
0
0% from average (1.3)
Possession
99% from average (43.23)
43%
57%
125% from average (45.5)
Corners
98% from average (5.08)
5
1
23% from average (4.44)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.25)
0
1
109% from average (0.92)
31% from average (3.2)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
95% from average (12.62)
12
10
111% from average (9)
95% from average (23.25)
Shots on goal
172% from average (12.77)
22
3
24% from average (12.38)
Shots on target
71% from average (4.23)
3
0
0% from average (3.94)
Shots off target
256% from average (5.85)
15
3
58% from average (5.13)
Blocked shots
149% from average (2.69)
4
0
0% from average (3.31)
Shots from inside the box
138% from average (8)
11
3
41% from average (7.31)
Shots from outside the box
231% from average (4.77)
11
0
0% from average (5.06)
Passes
114% from average (320.92)
367
522
136% from average (384.13)
Successful passes
118% from average (227.31)
269
411
145% from average (283.44)
Pass accuracy
104% from average (70.46)
73%
79%
108% from average (73.06)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
72% from average (2.77)
2
4
455% from average (0.88)
Saves
0% from average (2.54)
0
2
60% from average (3.31)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
23’
I. Arai
Dudu Giusti
Substitution
23’
I. Arai
Dudu Giusti
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
Thiago
R. Yamasaki
Substitution
46’
Thiago
R. Yamasaki
Goal
54’
Lucao
1
:
0
Goal
54’
Lucao
2
:
0
Substitution
64’
T. Matsumoto
H. Yamaguchi
Substitution
64’
T. Matsumoto
H. Yamaguchi
Substitution
65’
S. Yoneda
M. Sekiguchi
Substitution
65’
S. Yoneda
M. Sekiguchi
Substitution
65’
S. Yoneda
M. Sekiguchi
Substitution
65’
Leo Gaucho
Lucao
Substitution
65’
Leo Gaucho
Lucao
Substitution
65’
Leo Gaucho
Lucao
Yellow Card
74’
S. Yoneda
Yellow Card
74’
Yoneda Shunya
Substitution
75’
J. Nishikawa
Na Sang-Ho
Substitution
75’
J. Nishikawa
Na Sang-Ho
Substitution
76’
K. Ichimi
A. Esaka
Substitution
76’
K. Ichimi
A. Esaka
Substitution
81’
R. Kou
Y. Iwasaki
Substitution
81’
R. Kou
Y. Iwasaki
Substitution
90’
I. Shu
K. Shirai
Substitution
90’
I. Fujita
E. Miyamoto
Substitution
90’
I. Shu
K. Shirai
Substitution
90’
I. Shu
K. Shirai
Substitution
90’
I. Fujita
E. Miyamoto
Match Completed
1
:
0

Starting lineups

Player
1
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+2
43
~
~
~
+2
51
~
~
~
+3
88
~
~
~
+2
80
~
~
~
+2
41
~
~
~
+4
10
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
99
~
~
1
+5
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
50
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+1
25
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
+2
3
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+3
18
~
~
~
+3
41
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

Player
79
~
~
~
~
66
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
~
Player
21
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+3
34
~
~
~
+2
23
~
1
~
+1
45
~
~
~
~
39
R. Kou
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Fagiano Okayama - V-varen Nagasaki 15.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
1
2nd half 13
2
Result 22
3
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Fagiano Okayama
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
V-varen Nagasaki
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Fagiano Okayama - V-varen Nagasaki 15.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Fagiano Okayama and V-varen Nagasaki before the match 15.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Fagiano Okayama - V-varen Nagasaki 15.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works